Royal Ascot Betting Tips, Stats, Trends Day 4

Royal Ascot Betting Tips Day 4:

Royal Ascot betting tips for day four of Royal Ascot 2023, racing enthusiasts are treated to a thrilling line-up of seven races, with the highly anticipated Group 1 Commonwealth Cup taking centre stage. This prestigious race was introduced in 2015 as part of changes to the European sprint program, specifically for three-year-old colts and fillies. The Commonwealth Cup is a six-furlong sprint that showcases the speed and talent of the younger generation of racehorses.  Below, you can find our Royal Ascot betting tips previews, trends, and more for Friday.

Royal Ascot Betting Tips Day 4 Friday

2:30pm: Albany Stakes (Group 3)

The Albany Stakes is a Group 3 contest run over 6f. It takes place at 14:30 on Friday 23rd June, which is the fourth day of Royal Ascot 2023. This race kicks off the day, featuring talented two-year-old fillies competing for victory.

Key Stats for Albany Stakes:

1. Age – Race is for 2yo’s only: The Albany Stakes is exclusively open to 2-year-old horses.

2. Price – 3 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 6/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting:Out of the previous 12 winners, only 3 horses were favorites, and 6 winners were among the top 3 in the betting market.

3. Stall – 10/12 winners were drawn in stall 12 or higher: In 10 out of the last 12 editions of the Albany Stakes, the winning horse was allocated starting stalls from number 12 or higher.

4. Last Run – 11/12 winners won on their last run before the Albany Stakes, 1/12 winners placed on their last run, 11/12 winners had their last run within the last 34 days:11 of the previous 12 winners emerged victorious in their most recent race leading up to the Albany Stakes, with 1 winner placing in their last run. Additionally, 11 winners had their last run within the last 34 days.

5. Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 6 furlongs, 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 6 furlongs:11 out of the last 12 winners had participated in a race over a distance of 6 furlongs (3/4 of a mile) prior to the Albany Stakes, and 9 winners had achieved at least one victory in a race over the same distance.

6. Previous Flat Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous flat run, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous flat win:All 12 winners of the Albany Stakes had participated in at least one previous flat race, and 11 winners had achieved at least one win in a flat race.

7. Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous run that season, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win that season: All 12 winners had participated in at least one race during the current season leading up to the Albany Stakes, and 11 winners had achieved at least one win in the same season.

Past 10 winners

Leading Fancies:

Matrika is a filly sired by No Nay Never who made a winning debut in a 6-furlong maiden at the Curragh, defying market weakness and displaying improvement despite her greenness. With that first race under her belt, she has the potential for further progress and looks a big price considering connections.

Carla’s Way  is a highly regarded filly who was purchased for a significant sum at a breeze-up sale. She made an excellent impression by comfortably leading from start to finish in a 6.5-furlong maiden at Doncaster on her debut, with the runner-up validating that form in subsequent races. Looks a smart prospect.

Soprano is a filly sired by Starspangledbanner who after being strong in the market lived up to expectations by winning a 5-furlong maiden at Newmarket in early May. The runner-up in that race went on to win the Hilary Needler at Beverley so the form looks strong and should improve again for this trip and experience.

Porta Fortuna  overcame inexperience to win an 8-runner maiden at the Curragh on debut over 5 furlongs on heavy ground. She demonstrated significant improvement in her next outing, winning a 13-runner Group 3 race at Naas with an impressive turn of foot, only narrowly losing to Navassa Island.

Royal Ascot Betting Tips: Soprano

Each Way Alternative: Matrika

3:05pm: Commonwealth Cup (Group 1)

The Group 1 Commonwealth Cup is the prestigious sprint championship race for three-year-olds at Royal Ascot. This thrilling contest will take place on Friday 23rd June 2023 at 3:05 pm. Introduced in 2015, the Commonwealth Cup provided a dedicated platform for three-year-olds, replacing their eligibility to compete in the Diamond Jubilee Stakes. The inaugural running of the race was won by the remarkable Muhaarar, who went on to become the Champion Sprinter of Europe. In 2021, the race made headlines as Dragon Symbol, who crossed the finish line first, was controversially demoted in favor of the American-trained Campanelle.

Key stats for the past winners of the Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot:

Age – Race is for 3yo’s only:

Price – 3 of the last 8 winners have been favourites/joint favourites, 5/8 winners have been in the top 3 in the betting:

Last Run – 2/8 winners won on their last run before the Commonwealth Cup, 6/8 winners had their last run within the last 48 days:

Previous Course Form – 7/8 winners had at least 1 previous run at Ascot, 3/8 winners had a previous win at Ascot:

Previous Distance Form – 7/8 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 6 furlongs, 8/8 winners had at least 1 previous win over 6 furlongs, 5/8 had at least 2 previous wins over 6 furlongs:

Previous Flat Form – 8/8 winners had at least 4 previous flat runs, 6/8 winners had at least 5 previous flat runs, 8/8 winners had at least 1 previous flat win, 7/8 winners had at least 2 previous flat wins:

Rating – 7/8 winners had a rating of 113 or higher:

Group Wins – 7/8 winners had at least 1 previous group 1-3 win:

Season Form – 6/8 winners had at least 1 run that season, 4/8 winners had at least 1 win that season:.

🏆Sandy Lane Stakes (G2)
1.210 m – 125.000 GBP – for 3yo
🇬🇧Haydock Park

Little Big Bear (IRE)
(3C No Nay Never – Adventute Seeker ,by Bering)
J : Frankie Dettori
T: A.P. O'Brien
O : Derrick Smith, Mrs John Magnier, Michael Tabor & Westerbergpic.twitter.com/2fKgniv6Ps

— 𝙒𝙤𝙧𝙡𝙙𝙍𝙖𝙘𝙞𝙣𝙜 (@WorldRacing1) May 27, 2023

Leading Fancies:

Little Big Bear Produced an outstanding juvenile performance when a devastating 7-length winner of the Group 1 Phoenix at the Curragh. Missed the rest of the season due to a foot injury but confirmed sprinting is his game with a taking Group 2 victory at Haydock. Clearly has the best from to date and will be surprised if beaten.

Lezoo Only defeat at 2 came when edged out by Mawj in the Duchess of Cambridge at the July meeting, winning the Group 1 Cheveley Park over 6f at Newmarket. Had a tilt at the 1000 Guineas on reappearance, finishing eighth, back to sprinting and that should see an improved performance.

Noble Style Unbeaten in 3 outings as a juvenile, including the Gimcrack, and not disgraced in the 2000 Guineas on return, failing to fully see it out due to pulling hard. Failed to land the odds back sprinting at Newbury, but this should suit more and cheekpieces go on. Fair each way value.

Royal Ascot Betting Tips: Little Big Bear

Each Way Alternative: Noble Style

Royal Ascot Betting Tips, Stats, Trends Day Five Saturday

3:40pm: Duke of Edinburgh Stakes

The Duke of Edinburgh Stakes is a handicap race for three-year-olds and upwards, contested over a mile and a half at Royal Ascot. It is currently scheduled to take place on Friday 23rd June 2023 at 3:40 pm.

Renowned trainer Sir Michael Stoute has enjoyed success in this race, having trained notable winners such as Her Majesty The Queen’s Blueprint in 1999, Group 1 winner Opinion in 2013, and top-weighted Arab Spring in 2014. His strong record in the Duke of Edinburgh Stakes highlights his prowess in preparing horses for this challenging handicap event.

Key Stats for Duke of Edinburgh Stakes:

1. Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged 4 or 5: The Duke of Edinburgh Stakes has seen a strong performance from 4 and 5-year-old horses, with 11 out of the last 12 winners coming from these age groups.

2. Price – 6 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 7/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting: Among the previous 12 winners, 6 horses were favourites or joint favourites, and 7 winners were among the top 3 in the betting market.

3. Stall – 11 of the 12 winners were drawn in stall 12 or higher: An overwhelming majority of the previous 12 winners, with 11 out of 12, were drawn in stall 12 or higher.

4. Last Run – 8/12 winners won on their last run before the Duke of Edinburgh Stakes, 9/12 winners had their last run within the last 48 days: 8 of the previous 12 winners achieved victory in their most recent race leading up to the Duke of Edinburgh Stakes, and 9 winners had their last run within the last 48 days.

5. Previous Course Form – 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Ascot, 1/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Ascot: 6 of the previous 12 winners had previous race experience at Ascot, and 1 winner had achieved a victory at Ascot.

6. Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 12 furlongs, 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 12 furlongs: 9 of the previous 12 winners had participated in at least two races over a distance of 12 furlongs (1 1/2 miles), and 9 winners had achieved at least one victory in races over the same distance.

7. Previous Flat Form – 11/12 winners had at least 5 previous flat runs, 12/12 winners had at least 2 previous flat wins, 8/12 winners had at least 3 previous flat wins: All 12 previous winners had participated in at least five previous flat races, and they all had at least two previous flat wins. Additionally, 8 winners had achieved at least three flat wins.

8. Rating – 9/12 winners had a rating between 95 and 101: Out of the previous 12 winners, 9 horses had a rating between 95 and 101.

9. Group Wins – 0/12 winners had at least 1 win in a group 1-3 race:None of the previous 12 winners had achieved a victory in a group 1-3 race.

10. Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 7/12 winners had at least 1 win that season: 10 of the previous 12 winners had participated in at least one race leading up to the Duke of Edinburgh Stakes, and 7 winners had achieved at least one victory during the current season.

Leading Fancies:

Nagano Highly progressive 3-y-o who signed off in 2021 with an excellent second in the March Stakes at Goodwood. Not seen for 22 months but on a fair mark and connections would not have persisted if ability still not maintained. Looks a really interesting contender from a nice draw.

Moracana  Useful mare who was better than ever when scoring at Cork in April and far from disgraced when fourth in a listed event at the Curragh subsequently. We have already seen one winner of a handicap this week arriving from Ireland with a similar profile and the drop back to handicap company could make all the difference.

Royal Ascot Betting Tips: Nagano

Each Way Alternative: Moracana

Royal Ascot Betting Guide, What to expect from Royal Ascot. Royal Ascot Betting hints, tips and offers.

4:20pm: Coronation Stakes (Group 1)

Witness a battle of the finest milers as the St James’s Palace Stakes, a prestigious Group 1 contest, unfolds on the opening day of Royal Ascot 2023. This thrilling race, spanning a mile, promises to deliver high-speed drama and exhilarating competition. Mark your calendars for 4:20pm on Tuesday, June 20th, as the elite three-year-old colts showcase their speed, stamina, and determination on the iconic Ascot racecourse.

Key Stats for Coronation Stakes:

Age The Coronation Stakes is exclusively open to 3-year-old horses.

2. Price – 4 of the last 12 winners were favorites/joint favorites, 8/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting:

3. Last Run – 7/12 winners won on their last run before the Coronation Stakes, 10/12 winners had their last run within the last 47 days:

4. Previous Race Participation:

– 3/12 winners ran in the 1000 Guineas (Newmarket) on their last run, 1 of the 3 won, 0 placed.

– 3/12 winners ran in the French 1000 Guineas (Longchamp) on their last run, 1 of the 3 won, 1 placed.

– 2/12 winners ran in the Irish 1000 Guineas (Curragh) on their last run, both won, 0 placed.

5. Previous Course Form – 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Ascot, 1 of the 2 had at least 1 previous win at Ascot:

6. Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 8 furlongs, 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 8 furlongs:

7. Previous Flat Form –  All 12 previous winners had participated in at least four previous flat races, with 9 winners having at least five previous flat runs. Additionally, all 12 winners had achieved at least two wins in flat races, and 7 winners had achieved at least three flat wins.

8. Rating – 11/12 winners had a rating of 108 or higher:

9. Group Wins – 7/12 winners had at least 1 win in a group 1 race, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win in a group 1-3 race:

10. Season Form = 9 of the previous 12 winners had participated in at least two races leading up to the Coronation Stakes, and 9 winners had achieved at least one victory during the current season.

Past 10 Winners

🏆Moyglare Stud Stakes (G1)
1410 m, 400.000 EUR, for 2yo fillies
🇮🇪Curragh

Tahiyra (IRE)
( Siyouni – Tarana, by Cape Cross)
J :Chris Hayes 
T :D.K. Weld
O : Aga Khan Studspic.twitter.com/8EJGl6P2IY

— 𝙒𝙤𝙧𝙡𝙙𝙍𝙖𝙘𝙞𝙣𝙜 (@WorldRacing1) September 11, 2022

Leading Fancies:

Tahiyra  Clear of the remainder when second to Mawj in the 1000 Guineas on her return, her only defeat, and she kept on readily when landing the Irish equivalent at the Curragh from Meditate and Comhra. There is more to come from her and going to be very hard to beat

Meditate Last season’s Albany winner who signed off her 2-y-o campaign with victory in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf and left behind a tame return in the 1000 Guineas with a good second to Tahiyra in the Irish equivalent, sticking to her task well but likely to fill that position once again

Queen For You Bred in the purple (her dam won this in 2012) and overcame inexperience to make a striking winning debut in a 6-runner novice on the straight 1m here last month. Much improved when edged out by Sounds of Heaven at York next time, still looking a little green, and will go on progressing. Big player.

Royal Ascot Betting Tips: Tahiyra

Each Way Alternative: Queen For You

Royal Ascot Betting Tips, Stats, Trends Day Five Saturday

5:00pm: Sandringham Stakes

The Sandringham Stakes is a handicap race run over a mile. The Sandringham Stakes takes place on Friday 23rd June 2023 at 5:00 pm.

Trends for the Sandringham Stakes

1. Age – Race is for 3-year-olds only: The Sandringham Handicap is exclusively open to 3-year-old horses.

2. Price – Out of the previous 12 winners, 5 horses were favorites, and 7 winners were among the top 3 in the betting market.

3. Stall – Among the previous 12 winners, 7 horses were drawn in either the bottom 4 stalls or the top 4 stalls.

4. Last Run – 6 of the previous 12 winners emerged victorious in their most recent race leading up to the Sandringham Handicap. Additionally, 11 winners had their last run within the last 45 days.

5. Previous Course Form – 2 of the previous 12 winners had previously competed at Ascot racecourse, and 1 winner had achieved a victory at Ascot.

6. Previous Distance Form – 10 of the previous 12 winners had participated in at least one race over a distance of 8 furlongs (1 mile), and 5 winners had achieved at least one victory in a race over the same distance.

7. Previous Flat Form – 12/12 winners had at least 3 previous flat runs, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous flat win:

8. Rating – Out of the previous 12 winners, 9 horses had a rating of 91 or higher.

9. Group Wins – 0/12 winners had at least 1 win in a group 1-3 race:

10. Season Form – 9 of the previous 12 winners had participated in at least two races leading up to the Sandringham Handicap, and 9 winners had achieved at least one victory during the current season.

Past 10 Winners

Leading Contenders:

Marksman Queen Won AW novices on first 2 starts and took another step forward when second on recent 1m Kempton handicap debut with a hood added (retained), finishing well after conceding first run. Needs to prove her effectiveness on turf but a large field like this should suit and Hollie Doyle looks a good booking.

Eximious  Looked a useful prospect when readily taking a 7f Salisbury maiden last September. Not up to the Rockfel on her final 2-y-o start but back on the up when second in 7f Newbury handicap on her reappearance 16 days ago. First attempt at 1m which will suit and looks to have been brought along with this in mind.

Coppice Sister to very smart 6f winner Calyx. Created a very good impression when scoring on AW debut in October. Never figured in Nell Gwyn on reappearance but back on track with an easy win in Newcastle novice last month.

Royal Ascot Betting Tips: Eximous

Each Way Alternative: Marksman Queen

5:35pm: King Edward VII Stakes (Group 2)

The King Edward VII Stakes is a Group 2 race run over a mile and a half at Royal Ascot. It is open to three-year-old colts and geldings. The King Edward VII Stakes takes place on Friday 23rd June 2023 at 5:35 pm.Often referred to as the Ascot Derby, this race can attract horses that were defeated at Epsom or those aiming for the Irish Derby. Some notable past winners of the King Edward VII Stakes recently include Nathaniel (2011), and Japan (2019).

Key Trends for King Edward VII Stakes Winners:

1. Age – Race is for 3yo’s only:

2. Price – 4 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 9/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting:

3. Last Run – 3/12 winners won on their last run before the King Edward VII Stakes, 10/12 winners had their last run within the last 48 days:

4. Previous Course Form – 0/12 winners had a previous run at Ascot, 0/12 winners had a previous win at Ascot:

5. Previous Distance Form – 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 12 furlongs, 3/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 12 furlongs:

6. Previous Flat Form – 9/12 winners had at least 4 previous flat runs, 12/12 winners had at least 1 flat win:

7. Rating – 9/12 winners had a rating of 103 or higher:

8. Season Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 8/12 winners had at least 1 win that season:

PAST 10 WINNERS

Leading Contenders:

Continuous  Looked potentially smart when winning both 2-y-o starts, namely maiden at the Curragh and Group 3 (1m) at Saint-Cloud. Encouraging return in the Dante but below best in the French Derby. More needed but potentially not one to give up on yet under different conditions.

King Of Steel  Imprssive 2-y-o debut winner at Nottingham who found the Futurity all too much just 10 days later but improved a whopping 30 lb on his return for a new yard when finding only Auguste Rodin too good in the Derby, going clear briefly but collared late. More to come and looks the one to beat.

Relentless Voyager Returned with an impressive win in Kempton maiden over this trip and improved efforts in defeat upped in class/fitted with a tongue tie since, not beaten far in the Italian Derby last month and although will need to take another step forward he could have a bit more to offer on a quicker surface still

Arrest Most progressive juvenile who scored twice over 1m before head second to Dubai Mile in Criterium de Saint-Cloud. Impressive winning comeback in the mud in the Chester Vase but not seen to best effect.

Royal Ascot Betting Tips: Continuous

Each Way Alternative: Relentless Voyager

Royal Ascot Betting Tips, Stats, Trends Day Five Saturday

6:10pm: Palace of Holyroodhouse Stakes

The Palace of Holyroodhouse Stakes is a relatively new handicap race that is part of the Royal Ascot program. It is specifically for three-year-olds and is run over a distance of five furlongs. Introduced in 2020, the Palace of Holyroodhouse Stakes is the final race on the fourth day of Royal Ascot. It is a handicap race, meaning the weights carried by each horse are determined by their official ratings. This particular race is limited to horses with a rating of 0-105.The inaugural running of the Palace of Holyroodhouse Stakes was won by Art Power, a horse that received significant support from bettors. Art Power returned to Royal Ascot the following year and achieved a commendable third-place finish in the Group 1 Diamond Jubilee Stakes, which is a prestigious sprint race.

Leading Contenders:

Pillow Talk  Won a listed race at York (5f) last season and ran well when runner-up in a similar event returning from 11 months off there last month. Below that level at Chantilly since but may well get back on track sent handicapping and Danny Tudhope is worth a few pounds here at Ascot.

Tawalla Looks highly progressive stepping up from his return when winning at Ripon before following up on handicap debut at Kempton (6f) 9 days ago, having the run of things but impressing with the way he knuckled down under pressure. Shoudl go well under a penalty for a good yard in these handicaps.

Royal Ascot Betting Tips: Tawalla

Each Way Alternative: Pillow Talk

Good luck with your Royal Ascot betting tips! As you delve into the excitement of this prestigious racing event, remember to gamble responsibly. Set limits for yourself, both in terms of time and money, and stick to them. Treat betting as a form of entertainment and enjoyment rather than a guaranteed source of income. Always bet within your means and avoid chasing losses. Remember, it’s okay to take breaks and step away if you feel overwhelmed. Royal Ascot offers thrilling moments and great opportunities, so savour the experience while prioritizing responsible gambling. Wishing you a memorable and successful Royal Ascot!