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Cheltenham Festival Best Bets Tuesday 12th March 2024

Ready for the Roar!!! The 2024 Cheltenham Festival is here , the pinnacle of jump racing that captivates enthusiasts and bettors alike. As we gear up for an exhilarating opening day, we have you covered with our Day 1 Trends, Race preview and Best Bets. We’re dedicated to enhancing your festival experience by pairing our insightful race analyses with the most appealing free bet offers and promotions available.

With bookmakers rolling out their most generous offers for the festival, now is the perfect time to maximise your betting potential. Whether you’re looking to claim over £1000s in Free Bets or explore new betting opportunities with bookies you’ve yet to join, we’ve got you covered.

Cheltenham Festival Best Bets Tuesday 12th March 2024 At A Glance Tips

We will take a theoretical 20pts betting bank each day which can be converted to stakes your comfortable with for example £10 per point will be using £200.

1:30 Cheltenham – Sky Bet Supreme Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 1) – 2m½f

Supreme Key Trends

• Age: 11 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6.
• Price and Betting Position: 4 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, with 10 out of 12 winners in the top 3 in the betting.
• Last Run Performance and Recency: 11 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle, and 10 out of 12 winners ran within the last 66 days.
• Previous Course Form: 5 out of 12 winners had at least one previous run at Cheltenham, with 2 of those having at least one win at Cheltenham.
• Season Form: All 12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, with 11 of the 12 having at least 2 wins that season.

Supreme Preview

In last month’s race at Leopardstown, Slade Steel might have seen the end of his unbeaten streak over hurdles, yet his performance against the highly touted novice Ballyburn, a strong favourite for the Gallagher, suggests he’s a top contender for the opening race. Tullyhill earned his place with an impressive victory at Punchestown, and the time figure confirms his potential. His performance commands great respect, alongside stablemates Mystical Power and Mistergif, who add depth to the field for Willie Mullins.

Firefox has to put a disappointing run behind him and happy to oppose. Jeriko Du Reponet, a has  an undefeated record in points and three wins in hurdles, including a gritty victory in the Grade 2 Rossington Main Novices’ Hurdle at Doncaster. He appears to have significant potential still My recommendations lean towards Slade Steel, under the guidance of Henry de Bromhead, a master at targeting Cheltenham races, and Jeriko Du Reponet

Supreme Best Bets Slade Steel – Jeriko Du Reponet

2:10 Cheltenham – My Pension Expert Arkle Challenge Trophy Novices’ Chase (Grade 1) – 2m

Arkle Key Trends

• Age: 11 of the last 12 winners were aged 6 or 7.
• Price: 9 of the last 12 winners were favourites, with 10 out of 12 winners in the top 3 in the betting.
• Last Run: All 12 winners won on their last run before the Arkle Chase, with 9 of the last 12 winners running within the last 51 days.
• Previous Course Form: 10 of the last 12 winners had at least one previous run at Cheltenham, with 5 of those having at least one win at Cheltenham.
• Season Form: All 12 winners had at least one win that season, with 10 of the 12 having at least 2 wins that season.

Arkle Preview

Found A Fifty  Triumphed over My Mate Mozzie by 1½ lengths in a 2m Leopardstown Grade 1 novice during Christmas and nearly matched that performance, narrowly missing out to Il Etait Temps by just a neck at the Dublin Racing Festival last month. A definite contender. Gaelic Warrior After finishing as the runner-up in hurdles at the last two Festivals, he convincingly beat Il Etait Temps at Limerick over Christmas to maintain a perfect record over fences. Despite a disappointing showing at the Dublin Racing Festival, the introduction of a hood and Paul Townend’s continued partnership signal confidence but his jumping has to be a concern.

Hunters Yarn A successful hurdler who nearly won on his chase debut but for a fall at the last at Fairyhouse in December. He rectified this with a win in his next outing. Although his chase experience is minimal, his talent is undeniable. IL Etait Temps  Couldn’t match Gaelic Warrior at Limerick over Christmas but returned to form with a narrow victory over Found A Fifty in the Irish Arkle at Leopardstown.Jpr One  Looked promising until an unseat at the last over this course and distance in November. Though not as sharp in the Henry VIII at Sandown, he returned to form with a victory over Matata at Lingfield. He’ll need to step up to challenge the Irish contingent.

My Mate Mozzie (IRE): Secured a win on this course in October and improved to finish second to Found A Fifty in a Leopardstown Grade 1 race. With added cheekpieces, he’s one to watch. Quilixios 2021 Triumph Hurdle winner at the Festival but had a quiet season over hurdles thereafter. Since moving to fences, he’s shown promise, particularly over 2m, indicating more progress is likely

This race appears highly competitive, with viable arguments for and against most contenders. Il Etait Temps emerges as a solid pick among Willie Mullins’ entries, despite possibly lacking Gaelic Warrior’s flair. Preference for Dublin Racing Festival winners just gives him the nod. Found A Fifty has to be also in the mix based on last time and benefits from favourable conditions and stamina here. JPR One has been campaigned well this season and with no standout Irish horse he also merits consideration.

Arkle Best Bets Il Etait Temps – Found A Fifty – JPR One

2:50 Cheltenham – Ultima Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) – 3m1f

Ultima Key Trends

• Age: 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 7-9.
• Previous Course Form: All 12 winners had at least one previous run at Cheltenham, with 8 of those having at least two previous runs, and 7 having at least one previous win at Cheltenham.
• Previous Distance Form: 11 out of 12 winners had at least 5 previous runs over 3 miles or further, with all 12 winners having at least one win in a race of 3 miles or further.
• Previous Chase Form: 11 out of 12 winners had at least 5 previous chase runs, with all 11 winners having at least one previous chase win.
• Rating: 11 out of 12 winners had a rating of 132 or higher.

Ultima Preview

A race that the Irish have not won for some time and despite a strong hand this time around I find assessing them difficult so given the prices happy to leave alone.

Eldorado Allen A highly skilled chaser who delivered an impressive performance to finish fourth in the Coral Gold Cup at Newbury, demonstrating strong stamina from the fourth last fence. Although his subsequent outing over hurdles was less inspiring, he remains a compelling contender as he returns to chasing, especially with the yard in good form and headgear re-applied. Lord Du Mesnil It’s been over three years since his last win, yet he has maintained a level of consistency, most recently showing good form to finish fourth in a veterans’ event at Exeter. Can go well despite his advancing years.

Monbeg Genius  Showed significant progression in the last season over fences, securing three handicap victories before rounding off with an excellent third place in this race off a 7 lb lower mark. A bad mistake on his return at Ascot before a commendable third in the Coral Gold Cup at Newbury highlighted has more to come still. Disappointing run at Kelso 10 days ago raises questions, though the addition of headgear could provide a new edge.

Ultima Best Bets Monbeg Genius – Eldorado Allen – Lord Du Mesnil

3:30 Cheltenham – Unibet Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy (Grade 1) – 2m½f

Champion Hurdle Key Trends

• Age: 10 of the last 12 winners were aged between 6 and 8.
• Price: 8 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, with 9 out of 12 winners in the top 3 in the betting.
• Last Run: 11 out of 12 winners won or placed on their last run before the Champion Hurdle, with all 12 running within the last 78 days.
• Previous Course Form: 11 out of 12 winners had at least one previous run at Cheltenham, with 8 having at least one previous win there.
• Season Form: All 12 winners had at least one win that season, with 10 out of 12 having at least two wins that season.

Champion Hurdle Preview

Pretty simple stuff here I believe with State Man set to dominate and is some way clear of his opponents. Irish Point has been supplemented for this and is expected to chase the Mullins star home.

Champion Hurdle Best Bet State Man to beat Irish Point Straight Forecast – State Man / Lossiemouth double

4:10 Cheltenham – Close Brothers Mares’ Hurdle (Registered As The David Nicholson Mares’ Hurdle) (Grade 1) – 2m4f

Mares Hurdle Trends

• Age: 8 of the last 12 winners were aged between 5 and 7.
• Price: 5 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint-favourites, with 10 out of 12 winners in the top 3 in the betting.
• Last Run: 9 out of 12 winners won on their last run before the Mares Hurdle, with all 9 running within the last 52 days.
• Previous Course Form: 8 out of 12 winners had at least one previous run at Cheltenham, with 4 of those having at least one previous win at Cheltenham.
• Previous Distance Form: All 12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, with all 12 having at least one previous win over this distance, and 10 having at least 2 previous wins.

Mares Hurdle Preview

Lossiemouth is the class angle here and should prove very tough to beat. The step up in trip should be no concern unless things become extremely testing. She is the obvious play in multiples but both the Henry De Bromhead runners look interesting at bigger odds while the consistent Love Envoi can not be discounted.

Tellmesomethinggirl was Victorious in the Mares’ Novice Hurdle at the 2021 Festival, her 2022 campaign saw her being brought down two out when well-favoured. Since then, she’s tasted success over fences and returned to form in hurdling, securing a second-place finish in a Grade 3 at Naas seven weeks ago. Her performance signals a return to her capable form in this sphere.

Lantry Lady Hailing from the lineage of Annie Power, she has shown considerable promise with dominant wins at Gowran over 2m, spaced 11 months apart. Her latest victory, with the first-time tongue tie, saw her pulling away impressively from What’s Up Darling three weeks ago. Stepping up in distance, she presents an intriguing prospect with the potential for further improvement and merits attention.

Mares Hurdle Best Bets Tellmesomething Girl – Lantry Lady

4:50 Cheltenham – Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle (Registered As The Fred Winter) (Premier Handicap) – 2m½f

Fred Winter Trends

• Price: 1 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 3 out of 12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting, and 8 out of 12 winners were priced at 18/1 or bigger.
• Weight: 9 out of 12 winners carried between 10st-6lb and 11st-5lb.
• Last Run: 4 out of 12 winners won on their last run before the Fred Winter Juvenile Hurdle, with 9 out of 12 having their last run within the last 32 days. Specifically, 4 winners ran in the Rated Novice Hurdle at Naas on their last run, 3 of whom won.
• Previous Distance Form: All 12 winners had at least 2 runs over 15-17 furlongs, with 10 winners having at least 1 previous win over this distance.
• Season Form: 11 out of 12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, with all 11 having at least 1 win that season.

Fred Winter Preview

Where to start, well given the recent prices of the winners im happy to oppose the sexy types from big connections at the front of the market once again. That Naas race has thrown up plenty winners and solid placed efforts so the 1-2-4 from that race will do for me here.

Fred Winter Best Bets Nara – Eagle Fang – Bright Legend

5:30 Cheltenham – Maureen Mullins National Hunt Challenge Cup Amateur Jockeys’ Novices’ Chase (Grade 2) – 3m6f

National Hunt Chase Trends

• Age: 9 of the last 12 winners were aged between 6 and 8.
• Price: 3 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, with 7 out of 12 winners in the top 3 in the betting.
• Last Run: 5 out of 12 winners won on their last run before the National Hunt Chase, with 8 out of 12 having their last run within the last 52 days.
• Previous Course Form: 9 out of 12 winners had at least one previous run at Cheltenham, with only 2 having a previous win at Cheltenham.
• Previous Distance Form: 9 out of 12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 3 miles or further, with 10 out of 12 having at least 1 previous win over 3 miles or further.

National Hunt Chase Preview

Embassy Gardens and Corbetts Cross head the market here and its hard to split the pair. Given though that this could be an extreme stamina test come post time I’m happy to stick with 2 proven stayers despite potentially lacking the class of the pair.

Apple Away Triumphed in a 3m Grade 1 novice hurdle last season and has adeptly transitioned to chasing, securing places in 3m Grade 2 races at Warwick and Ascot, finishing just 2½ lengths behind Henry’s Friend and Kilbeg King. Looks all about stamina and will relish conditions.

Salvador Ziggy Securing victories in his initial three starts over fences, then put in a commendable effort in the Kerry National at Listowel in September, where he was the runner-up out of 17, carrying a significant weight. Despite a less impressive performance over hurdles in the US in October, he stands a good chance of making a strong comeback to the larger obstacles having been targeted for this.

National Hunt Chase Bets Bets Salvador Ziggy – Apple Away