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Cheltenham Festival Best Bets Thursday 14th March 2024

Feel the excitement build as we step into day 3 at the 2024 Cheltenham Festival, the pinnacle of jump racing that enthrals both enthusiasts and bettors. We’re here to guide you through Stayers Hurdle day with our comprehensive Trends, Race Previews, and Best Bets.

As bookmakers unveil their most generous deals for the festival, seize the opportunity to amplify your betting game. Whether aiming to secure thousands in Free Bets or venturing into new betting realms with bookmakers you’re yet to explore, rest assured, we’re here to support every step of your betting adventure for the big races like the Ryanair Chase and the Stayers Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival.

Cheltenham Festival Best Bets Thursday 14th March 2024 At A Glance Tips

We will take a theoretical 20pts betting bank each day which can be converted to stakes your comfortable with for example £10 per point will be using £200.

1:30 Cheltenham – Turners Novices’ Chase (Grade 1) (Registered As The Golden Miller) – 2m4f

Turners Novices’ Chase Trends

• Age and Price: 11 of the last 12 winners were aged 6 or 7, with 4 being favourites/joint favourites and 10 finishing in the top 3 in the betting.
• Recent Performance: 10 of the last 12 winners won their last run before the Turners Novices Chase, with 9 running within the last 54 days.
• Cheltenham Experience: All winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, with 9 having at least 1 win at the course.
• Stamina and Hurdle/Chase Skills: 11 winners had at least 2 runs over 19-21 furlongs, with all having substantial experience in hurdles (at least 3 runs and 9 with at least 3 wins) and chases (10 with at least 3 chase runs and 11 with at least 2 chase wins).
• Rating and Season Form: 11 out of 12 winners were rated 146 or higher, with all having at least 2 runs that season and 11 achieving at least 2 wins.

Turners Novices’ Chase Preview

Facile Vega (IRE) finished second to Marine Nationale in last year’s Supreme. He won easily on his Navan chase debut in November but has been beaten twice in 2m Grade 1s at Leopardstown since then. Despite bungling the last in his latest outing, where he finished 3¼ lengths third to stablemate Il Etait Temps, he is now up in trip.

Ginny’s Destiny (IRE) was a useful hurdler for Tom Lacey and has quickly found success over fences for his new yard, completing a course hat-trick in a 21f handicap in January. In his second victory, he beat Grey Dawning by ¾ length, although he received 3 lb from Dan Skelton’s 7-year-old. He is a good jumper and shouldn’t be far away.

Grey Dawning (IRE) was a Grade 2 hurdle winner last term and has transitioned well to fences, winning a 21.5f Haydock graduation event and a 3m Warwick Grade 2. In his most recent outing, he went down by ¾ length to Ginny’s Destiny but conceded 3 lb and blundered 2 out. There are reasons to believe he can turn the tables.

Iroko  completed a hat-trick of handicap hurdle victories in the Martin Pipe at this meeting. He resumed with an easy chasing debut success in a 2½m novice at Warwick in November. Although off since then, he could prove to be really smart over fences.

Le Patron (FR) won his first 3 starts over fences, with his best performance coming when taking the Henry VIII Novices’ Chase at Sandown (2m) in December. However, he lost his unbeaten chasing record with a bit of a whimper in the Scilly Isles back there 40 days ago. Will need to return to earlier form but has scope still and could feature at huge odds.

Turners Novices’ Chase Best Bets Iroko – Le Patron

2:10 Cheltenham – Pertemps Network Final Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) -3m

Pertemps Network Final Handicap Hurdle Trends

• Age and Price: 11 of the last 12 winners were aged between 6 and 8, with betting trends showing 2 favourites won, 5 were in the top 3 in the betting, and 7 were priced at 10/1 or bigger.
• Physical Conditions and Recent Performance: 8 of the last 12 winners carried 11st 4lbs or less, and in terms of recent activity, 3 won their last run before the Pertemps Final, with 11 having their last run within the last 61 days; half of these last runs were in a Pertemps Qualifier.
• Experience at Cheltenham and Distance: 7 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, with 2 achieving at least 1 win there, while 10 had at least 2 previous runs over 23-25 furlongs, and 8 had at least 1 win over this distance.
• Hurdle Form and Rating: All winners had substantial hurdle experience with at least 6 previous runs and 8 having at least 2 wins, and nearly all (11 out of 12) were rated 138 or higher.
• Season Form: Consistency throughout the season was evident as 10 winners had at least 3 runs that season, with half winning at least once.

Pertemps Network Final Handicap Hurdle Preview

Gaoth Chuil (IRE) is a progressive mare who won a traditionally-competitive 23f handicap hurdle at Leopardstown in December. She took another step forward when finishing as the runner-up in a similar event there last month, hindering her chance with a last-flight error. She is one to keep on the right side of.

Prairie Dancer (IRE), a three-time hurdles winner in 2022/23 who also bagged a decent pot on the level in October. Not seen out since qualifying for this with a good third in a 25f Carlisle handicap in December, Prairie Dancer lurks on a very fair mark and is one to consider.

Pertemps Network Final Handicap Hurdle Best Bets Gaoth Chuil – Prairie Dancer

2:50 Cheltenham – Ryanair Chase (Registered As The Festival Trophy) (Grade 1) – 2m4½f

Ryanair Chase Trends

• Age and Price: All winners in the last 12 years of the Ryanair Chase were aged between 7 and 9, with 6 being favourites/joint favourites and 11 finishing in the top 3 in the betting.
• Recent Form and Key Preparations: 6 winners won their last run before the race, with 10 running within the last 77 days. Notably, runs in the King George VI Chase and the Ascot Chase served as important pre-race engagements, with 2 winners coming from the latter having won their last run.
• Experience at Cheltenham and Over the Distance: A vast majority had significant experience at Cheltenham, with 11 having at least 2 prior runs and 8 securing at least one win there. Additionally, 9 had at least 4 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, with 10 achieving at least 2 wins over this distance.
• Hurdle and Chase Mastery: All winners had ample experience over hurdles, with at least 4 runs and 8 having at least 2 wins. In chase events, 10 had at least 7 runs with the same number achieving at least 4 wins, underscoring their proficiency in both formats.
• Rating and Seasonal Achievements: Each winner was rated 162 or higher, with 11 having at least 1 win in a grade 1-3 race and a majority securing at least one grade 1 victory, highlighting their quality. Season form was also crucial, with 8 having at least 3 runs and 11 winning at least once that season.

Ryanair Chase Preview

Stage Star (IRE): This horse won the Grade 1 Golden Miller at the 2023 Festival and continued his good form with a victory in the Paddy Power Gold Cup here on reappearance in November. He likely wasn’t right when pulled up back here on New Year’s Day but is expected to bounce back given his good overall record at the course.

Envoi Allen (FR): Envoi Allen secured a third Festival success when defeating Shishkin in this race 12 months ago. He returned to that level of form when finishing neck second of 4 to Gerri Colombe in the 3m Down Royal Grade 1 in November. He has been kept fresh for this race since then.

Banbridge (IRE): This horse won the Martin Pipe at the 2022 Festival and continued his success with a Grade 2 novice chase win in November of that year. He rounded off last season with a Grade 1 novice win at Aintree and returned to beat Pic d’Orhy in the Kempton Grade 2 in January. While he has solid form claims, the soft ground may not be ideal for him.

Ryanair Chase Best Bets Envoi Allen

3:30 Cheltenham – Paddy Power Stayers’ Hurdle (Grade 1) – 3m

Paddy Power Stayers’ Hurdle Trends

• Age and Betting: 9 of the last 12 winners were aged between 6 and 8, with 3 being favourites and 5 finishing in the top 3 in the betting.
• Preparation and Performance: 6 winners won their last run before the Stayers Hurdle, with all winners having their last run within 80 days. The Cleeve Hurdle at Cheltenham was a last run for 5 winners, with 3 winning and 1 placing.
• Cheltenham Familiarity: 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, with 7 having at least 1 win there.
• Endurance and Hurdle Proficiency: 9/12 winners had at least 3 runs over 23-25 furlongs, with 8 winning at least twice over this distance. Furthermore, 11/12 winners had at least 8 previous runs over hurdles, with 11 winning at least 3 times and 10 winning at least 4 times.
• Ratings and Wins: 9/12 winners were rated 156 or higher. Additionally, 9/12 winners had at least one previous win in both grade 1 and grade 2 races. Season form showed 11/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, with 8 winning at least once.

Paddy Power Stayers’ Hurdle Preview

Crambo: This horse has progressed through the ranks over hurdles and had Dashel Drasher and Champ behind when edging out Paisley Park in the Grade 1 Long Walk Hurdle at Ascot (24.4f, good) 82 days ago. He will need to step up again to beat the best of the Irish, but it’s entirely possible given his unexposed form at 3m.

Flooring Porter (IRE): A front-runner who won this race in 2021 and 2022. While he couldn’t complete the hat-trick 12 months ago, he still ran his best race of the season to finish fourth (3½ lengths behind Sire du Berlais). Not performing as well over fences this term, so it’s no surprise to see him back for another crack at this.

Noble Yeats (IRE): A top-class chaser who won the 2022 Grand National. He was only having his third career start over hurdles when narrowly beating the penalised Paisley Park in the Cleeve Hurdle at this C&D (good to soft) 47 days ago. He needs more improvement here but has plenty of scope given his chase form, making him an interesting contender.

Paisley Park (IRE): A veteran stayer showing no signs of slowing down, narrowly beaten in the Long Distance Hurdle at Newbury, Ascot’s Long Walk Hurdle, and the Cleeve Hurdle over C&D this term. His record in this race reads 17337, indicating his consistency and competitiveness.

Sire Du Berlais (FR): A grand servant and 3-time winner at the Cheltenham Festival, including winning this race 12 months ago. While he should be sharper for his belated comeback run at Navan, no 12-year-old has won this race. However, given his track record, he cannot be dismissed lightly.

Sir Gerhard (IRE): The leading novice hurdler of the 2021/22 campaign and a smart novice chaser last term. He was closing in second when falling heavily 2 out in a Grade 3 chase at Naas on return but showed no ill effects when landing odds back hurdling at Punchestown on New Year’s Eve. Unproven beyond 21f but still a strong contender.

Teahupoo (FR): A high-class hurdler who was a close third in this race last year when favourite. He was better than ever when securing back-to-back wins in the Grade 1 Hatton’s Grace Hurdle at Fairyhouse on return in December. Kept fresh for this, he has a strong record when returning from an absence of 3 months or longer, and a huge run is expected.

Paddy Power Stayers’ Hurdle Best Bets Teahupoo – Paisley Park

4:10 Cheltenham – TrustATrader Plate Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) – 2m4½f

TrustATrader Plate Handicap Chase Trends

• Age and Price: 8 of the last 12 Festival Plate winners were aged between 7 and 9, with 4 being favourites and 5 finishing in the top 3 in the betting.
• Weight and Recent Form: 9 winners carried less than 11st, 5 won their last run before the race, and 7 had their last run within the last 47 days.
• Course and Distance Experience: 9 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, with 5 winning there. Additionally, 11 had at least 3 runs over 19-21 furlongs, with 9 having at least 4 runs and at least 1 win over this distance.
• Hurdle and Chase Proficiency: 10 winners had at least 5 runs over hurdles, with 11 winning at least once, and in chase form, 10 had at least 5 runs with 9 achieving at least 2 wins.
• Rating and Season Consistency: 10 winners had a rating of 140 or higher. Seasonally, 10 had at least 3 runs, with 9 winning at least once that season.

TrustATrader Plate Handicap Chase Preview

Crebilly (IRE): A progressive novice hurdler who was showing promising form before falling on his return/chase debut here in November. He made mistakes when fourth behind Ginny’s Destiny over C&D next time but got off the mark in a 3-runner Exeter novice (19.2f) 32 days ago. He’s the type to do even better now back handicapping.

Shakem Up’arry (IRE): Finished an excellent third in this race 12 months ago and returned better than ever this campaign. He confirmed the positives of his sixth-place finish in the Coral Gold Cup at Newbury when winning a C&D handicap on New Year’s Day from Frero Banbou, jumping superbly. He should give another good account, nudged up 3 lb.

Fighter Allen (FR): A useful chaser who ended his time with Willie Mullins with success in a small-field minor event at Sligo (21.2f) in September. He changed hands for 21,000 gns a month later and underwent wind surgery. Jumping is the concern but that is factored into the price and is one at a price

TrustATrader Plate Handicap Chase Best Bets Crebilly – Shakem Up’arry – Fighter Allen

4:50 Cheltenham – Ryanair Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The Dawn Run Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle) – 2m1f

Ryanair Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle Trends

• Age and Betting Trends: All of the last 8 winners of the Dawn Run Mares Novice Hurdle were aged 5 or 6, with 3 being favourites/joint favourites and 5 placing in the top 3 in the betting.
• Recent Performance: 5 winners won their last run before the race, and 7 ran within the last 47 days. Key preparatory races included victories in the Jane Seymour Novice Hurdle at Sandown and the Solerina Mares Hurdle at Fairyhouse by 2 winners each, and 2 ran in the Mares Handicap Hurdle at Leopardstown, with both placing.
• Cheltenham and Distance Experience: Only 2 winners had previously run at Cheltenham, with none securing a win there. However, 5 had at least 2 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, with 7 winning at least once over this distance.
• Hurdle Competence: All winners had at least 2 runs over hurdles, with 6 having at least 3 and 7 securing at least 1 win, demonstrating significant hurdle experience.
• Rating and Seasonal Achievements: 7 winners were rated 135 or higher, and 5 had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race. Consistent season form was evident as all winners had at least 2 runs that season, with 7 winning at least once.

Ryanair Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle Preview

Brighterdaysahead (FR): Unbeaten in 2 bumpers, including a valuable sales race at Fairyhouse’s Easter Festival, and also 3 from 3 over hurdles. He took a big step forward to land a Grade 3 at Down Royal in November before following up in bloodless fashion at Navan. Open to further improvement and boasts excellent claims.

Jade De Grugy (FR): She won her sole outing in bumpers in France and has been most impressive in winning both her starts over hurdles for a new yard, including the Grade 3 Solerina at Fairyhouse (18f, heavy) last time. An exciting prospect who warrants the utmost respect.

Dysart Enos (IRE): He won all 3 bumper outings, including a Grade 2 in decisive fashion at Aintree in April. Also unbeaten in a trio of novice hurdles, scoring in an excellent time over C&D in December before completing a simple task at Doncaster. A major player with better still to come.

Ryanair Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle Best Bets Brighterdaysahead

5:30 Cheltenham – Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Amateur Jockeys’ Handicap Chase (Sponsored By JRL Group) – 3m2f

Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Trends

• Age and Betting: A majority of Kim Muir Challenge Cup winners (10 out of 12) were aged between 7 and 9, with 2 being favourites and 6 finishing in the top 3 in the betting.
• Weight and Recent Activity: Nearly all winners (11 out of 12) carried 11st 0lb or more, and almost all had their last run within the last 76 days, though only 1 won their last run before the race.
• Cheltenham Experience: 8 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, with 3 having won there before, highlighting the significance of familiarity with the course.
• Endurance and Discipline Proficiency: A vast majority had at least 1 previous run over 24-26 furlongs, with 5 securing a win over this distance. Additionally, their experience in hurdles and chases was evident, with 11 having at least 5 runs and most securing wins in both disciplines.
• Rating and Season Performance: Most winners (10 out of 12) were rated 137 or higher, and 11 had at least 3 runs that season, with 4 winning at least once, indicating a consistent performance throughout the season.

Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Preview

Inothewayurthinkin (IRE): A useful hurdler who has shown better form over fences this season. He delivered an excellent third-place finish to Gaelic Warrior in the Faugheen Novices’ Chase at Limerick before not being pushed after a first-fence blunder, finishing ninth of 25 in a 2m5f Leopardstown handicap last month. He’s one to be interested in with O’Connor booked.

Bowtogreatness (IRE): Dual hurdle winner in 2021/22. Yet to score over fences but recorded his best effort of the season when third of 12 to Forward Plan in a handicap chase at Kempton (24f, soft) 19 days ago. The yard is among the winners, but he does flatter to deceive a touch.

Daily Present (IRE): A useful winner at 22f over hurdles. Tongue tied and left previous chasing efforts well behind when switched to a handicap, scoring at Down Royal (3m) in January. Lacks experience but progressive and connections catch the eye.

Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Best Bets Inothewayurthinkin – Bowtogreatness – Daily Present