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Cheltenham Festival Best Bets Friday 15th March 2024

It`s day 4 at the 2024 Cheltenham Festival, the pinnacle of jump racing and the blue ribbon event of the Cheltenham Gold Cup.  We’re here to guide you through Gold Cup day with our comprehensive Trends, Race Previews, and Best Bets.

As bookmakers unveil their most generous deals for the festival, seize the opportunity to amplify your betting game. Whether aiming to secure thousands in Free Bets or venturing into new betting realms with bookmakers you’re yet to explore, rest assured, we’re here to support every step of your betting adventure for the big races like the Gold Cup at the Cheltenham Festival.

Cheltenham Festival Best Bets Friday 15th March 2024 At A Glance Tips

We will take a theoretical 20pts betting bank each day which can be converted to stakes your comfortable with for example £10 per point will be using £200.

JCB Triumph Hurdle

JCB Triumph Hurdle Trends

• Betting Trends: 5 out of the last 12 winners were favourites, and 7 out of 12 were in the top 3 in betting.
• Last Run: 7 out of 12 winners won their last race before the Triumph Hurdle, with all winners having their last run within the last 48 days.
• Race Preparation: 8 out of 12 winners ran in the Spring Juvenile Hurdle (Leopardstown) on their last run, with 3 winning and 4 placing. 2 out of 12 winners ran in the Finesse Juvenile Hurdle (Cheltenham) on their last run, with both winning.
• Previous Performance: 2 out of 12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, and the same number had at least 1 previous win at the course. 10 out of 12 winners had at least 2 runs over 15-17 furlongs, and 11 out of 12 had at least 1 win over that distance. Additionally, 10 out of 12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over hurdles, with 11 out of 12 having at least 1 win over hurdles. Moreover, 9 out of 12 winners were rated 140 or higher (with 3 not yet rated), and 7 out of 12 winners had at least 1 win in a grade 1-3 race. Lastly, 10 out of 12 winners had at least 2 previous runs that season, with 11 out of 12 having at least 1 win in the current season.
• Trainer Success: Historically, 6 out of 12 winners were trained by handlers who had previously won the Triumph Hurdle.

JCB Triumph Hurdle Preview

Sir Gino (FR): Won a listed newcomers race at Auteuil and, following a breathing operation, has emerged as a high-class prospect for his new yard, scoring impressively at Kempton and in the Triumph Hurdle Trial (Finesse) over C&D. He’s an outstanding prospect and the one to beat, although the form of the yard is a big concern and can not be backed confidently.

Salvator Mundi (FR): Made a highly promising start when finishing 1¾ lengths second to Sir Gino in a listed newcomers hurdle at Auteuil last April for David Cottin. Subsequently bought by Sir Gino’s connections, he’s open to considerable improvement for his new yard. First time hood.

Storm Heart (FR): A fairly useful 1½m scorer on the Flat in France, Storm Heart made a highly impressive winning hurdling debut at Punchestown in December. He was a very good 1¼ lengths second of 11 to stablemate Kargese in the Spring Juvenile Hurdle at Leopardstown since, and he’s open to further progress. The pick of Paul Townend.

Kargese (FR): A Group 3 winner in France who has made a promising start for the current yard, landing the Spring Juvenile Hurdle at Leopardstown last month, defeating several of these including Storm Heart and Majborough. Has the best form currently from the Mullins runners

JCB Triumph Hurdle Best Bets Kargese – Strom Heart

BetMGM County Handicap Hurdle

BetMGM County Handicap Hurdle Trends

• Age and Price: Preference is given to 5 or 6-year-olds, with 8 out of 12 recent winners falling within this age range. Additionally, while only 2 out of 12 winners were favourites, 9 out of 12 were priced at 10/1 or bigger.
• Weight and Last Run: Winners tend to carry 11st 1lb or less, with 9 out of 12 complying with this weight limit. Regarding their last run, 3 out of 12 winners won their previous race before the County Hurdle, and 8 out of 12 ran within the last 72 days.
• Course and Distance Experience: Course familiarity is advantageous, as seen with 7 out of 12 winners having previously raced at Cheltenham. Moreover, extensive experience over 15-17 furlongs is crucial, with 11 out of 12 winners having at least 3 previous runs at this distance, and all 12 winners having at least 1 win over it.
• Hurdle Form and Rating: Successful candidates typically have significant hurdle experience, as evidenced by 10 out of 12 winners having at least 5 previous runs over hurdles and all 12 having at least 1 previous win. Moreover, a rating of 134 or higher is preferred, with 11 out of 12 winners meeting this criterion.
• Seasonal Performance: Maintaining good form throughout the season is essential, with 11 out of 12 winners having at least 2 runs and 7 out of 12 securing at least 1 win during the current season.

BetMGM County Handicap Hurdle Preview

Pied Piper: Having been placed in the Triumph Hurdle and this race at the last two Festivals, Pied Piper showcased his versatility when finishing second in the Cesarewitch at Newmarket in October. The small-field scenario didn’t play to his strengths in the Morgiana Hurdle in November, but this is more to his liking.

Zenta (FR): A lightly-raced mare who boasted a record of 3 wins from 4 starts over hurdles as a novice, including a third-place finish in last season’s Triumph Hurdle before landing a Grade 1 at Aintree on her final start. She put in a good third on her return and chase debut in December, and her best effort yet came when third in a competitive handicap hurdle at Leopardstown latest. She looks tailor-made for this race.

Westport Cove (FR): A bumper scorer who made a perfect start over hurdles by winning a Thurles maiden (16.2f) in November. Although he struggled in a Grade 1 next time, he has shown better efforts, especially when fitted with a tongue tie, back in calmer waters more recently. There’s more to come from him.

BetMGM County Handicap Hurdle Best Bets Pied Piper – Zenta – Westfield Cove

Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle

Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle Trends

• Age Preference: A majority of the recent winners, 10 out of 12, were aged 6 or 7.
• Price Trends: Contrary to favourites, only 1 out of 12 winners held that position. Moreover, 9 out of 12 winners were priced at 11/1 or higher, indicating a preference for longer odds.
• Last Run and Previous Course Form: Six out of 12 winners triumphed in their previous race before the Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle, while 9 out of 12 had their last run within 54 days. However, only 3 out of 12 winners had previous experience at Cheltenham, and the same number had won there before.
• Previous Distance and Hurdle Form: Consistency in racing over longer distances is notable, with 11 out of 12 winners having at least 1 run over 23-25 furlongs, and the same number securing at least 1 win over that distance. Hurdle experience is also valued, as seen with 9 out of 12 winners having at least 3 runs over hurdles, 7 out of 12 having at least 4 runs, and 11 out of 12 having at least 1 previous win.
• Rating and Seasonal Form: The majority of winners, 10 out of 12, were rated 136 or higher. Additionally, 6 out of 12 winners had at least 1 victory in a grade 1-3 race. Moreover, maintaining good form throughout the season is crucial, with 10 out of 12 winners having at least 3 runs and 11 out of 12 having at least 1 win during the current season.

Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle Preview

Stellar Story (IRE): A dual bumper winner who also made a successful hurdling debut at Navan in November. He has shown improvement since then, with cheekpieces on for the first time when finishing fourth, 11 lengths behind Dancing City, in a Grade 1 at Leopardstown (22.4f, soft) 41 days ago.

Dancing City (FR): Showing improvement with each of his three hurdling runs, Dancing City landed a Grade 1 at Leopardstown (2m6f) last month by over a length from stablemate Predators Gold. He should be suited by the extra distance and is capable of even better performances. He’s a big contender.

Search For Glory (IRE): A very useful hurdler who secured a third win this season in the 3-runner Surehaul Mercedes-Benz Novices’ Hurdle at Clonmel (24f, heavy) 29 days ago. There’s more to come from him, especially with blinkers on for the first time.

Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle Best Bets Dancing City – Stella Story – Search For Glory

Boodles Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase

Boodles Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase Trends

• Age Preference: All of the last 12 winners fell within the age range of 7 to 9.
• Price Trends: A significant portion, 5 out of 12 winners, were favourites or joint favourites. Additionally, 7 out of 12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting.
• Last Run and Race Preparation: The majority, 9 out of 12 winners, triumphed in their previous race before the Cheltenham Gold Cup. Furthermore, 11 out of 12 had their last run within the last 80 days, and all 12 winners had their last run at least 33 days ago. Among these, 4 out of 12 ran in the Irish Gold Cup (Leopardstown) on their last run, 2 in the Denman Chase (Newbury), and 2 in the Savills Chase (Leopardstown).
• Course and Distance Form: A perfect record of 12 out of 12 winners had at least 1 previous Cheltenham run, with 7 out of 12 having at least 1 previous win there. Moreover, 11 out of 12 winners had extensive experience over distances of 24 furlongs or further, with 8 out of 12 having multiple wins over such distances.
• Hurdle and Chase Form, Rating, and Grade Wins: All 12 winners had substantial experience over hurdles and chases, with a notable majority achieving high ratings of 164 or higher. Additionally, all winners had won at least 1 Grade 1 race, with a significant portion having multiple Grade 1, Grade 2, and Grade 3 victories. Regarding seasonal form, 9 out of 12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, and 11 out of 12 had at least 1 win during the season.

Boodles Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase Preview

Fastorslow (FR): Inflicted defeats on Galopin des Champs in Grade 1 races at Punchestown in April and November of 2023, but the latter saw him off by 4½ lengths in the Irish version at Leopardstown (3m, soft) last month. Had wind surgery since then. Should perform well but might find his old rival too strong.

Galopin Des Champs (FR): Most impressive when defeating Bravemansgame in this race 12 months ago. Suffered defeats to Fastorslow at Punchestown in his next two starts but back to his best when winning the Savills and Irish Gold Cup at Leopardstown this winter, beating Fastorslow by 4½ lengths in the latter. Hard to beat.

Gentlemansgame: Has quickly established himself on the staying chasing scene, with only his third start over fences resulting in a win over Bravemansgame in the Charlie Hall at Wetherby (3m, heavy) in November. Not seen since, but it wouldn’t be surprising if he progresses again for a trainer who has won this race before.

Gerri Colombe (FR): Dual Grade 1 novice chase winner last term. Bagged another success at the highest level when edging out Envoi Allen on his Down Royal return, but his Gold Cup aspirations took a significant dent when he was no match for Galopin des Champs in the Savills at Leopardstown over Christmas. Given time since.

Hewick (IRE): Capped a remarkable last couple of years when coming from well off the pace to beat Bravemansgame in the King George at Kempton over Christmas, but it was a somewhat fortuitous success. He was beaten when falling 2 out in this race 12 months ago.

Jungle Boogie (IRE): Won a bumper, hurdle, and chase on his first three starts for Willie Mullins. Lost his unbeaten record when fourth in a 2m Cork Grade 2 on return from a long absence in December but quickly returned to winning ways when stepped up to 23f at Tramore (Grade 3) on New Year’s Day. A lot more needed here, but he is unexposed.

Boodles Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase Best Bets Jungle Boogie

St. James’s Place Festival Challenge Cup Open Hunters’ Chase

St. James’s Place Festival Challenge Cup Open Hunters’ Chase Trends

• Age Preference: The vast majority, 11 out of the last 12 winners, were aged 8 or older.
• Price Trends: While 4 out of 12 winners were favourites or joint favourites, 6 out of 12 were in the top 3 in the betting.
• Last Run Performance: Six out of 12 winners triumphed in their last race before the Hunters Chase. Moreover, 9 out of 12 winners either won or placed in their last run before Cheltenham, and 10 out of 12 had their last run within the last 43 days.
• Previous Course and Distance Form: Eight out of 12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, with only 3 out of 12 having a previous win there. In terms of distance, 8 out of 12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 26/27 furlongs, with 4 of those 8 having at least 1 win over the same distance.
• Previous Chase Form, Rating, and Seasonal Form: The majority, 10 out of 12 winners, had at least 6 previous chase runs, and 11 out of 12 had at least 1 previous chase win. Additionally, 10 out of 12 winners had a rating of 134 or higher. All winners had at least 1 previous run during the season, with 9 out of 12 winners having at least 1 previous win during the season.

St. James’s Place Festival Challenge Cup Open Hunters’ Chase Preview

Its On The Line (IRE): Runner-up in this race prior to making all in the Champion Hunters’ Chase at Punchestown last April. Won both starts this term at the expense of Ferns Lock and Billaway. A strong finisher who will be well suited by a test of stamina, so boasts leading claims.

Premier Magic (IRE): A likeable type who belied huge odds to take last year’s renewal with a fluent display of jumping. Has landed the odds readily in a couple of points since, so everything is in place for a bold defence.

Ferns Lock: A classy, consistent sort who jumps well and arrives at the top of his game having coasted to success at Thurles 54 days ago. Has suffered defeat to Its On The Line this term but expected to be in the mix turning for home and deserves plenty of respect.

Billaway (IRE): A hardened veteran who is making his fifth appearance in this event (won the 2022 renewal and was runner-up on the other two completed outings). Showed he retains just about all of his ability this season, finishing well from a long way back when just denied by Its On The Line last month, so should go well.

St. James’s Place Festival Challenge Cup Open Hunters’ Chase Best Bets

Mrs Paddy Power Mares’ Chase

Mrs Paddy Power Mares’ Chase Trends

Limerick Lace (IRE): A smart chaser who’s won 2 of her 3 starts this season, making the most of a good opportunity in a listed event at Doncaster when last seen in December. Arrives on the up and may yet do better still, making her an intriguing contender in receipt of weight off the Mullins pair.

Brides Hill (IRE): A smart chaser who’s unbeaten this season, landing a mares novice at Listowel in September, a mares handicap at Fairyhouse in December, and a 7-runner listed mares event at Huntingdon (easily) 7 weeks ago. More needed here but well worth a shot.

Dinoblue (FR): Has thrived since finishing second in last year’s Grand Annual, winning the next 4 starts, notably when beating the males in a Grade 1 at Leopardstown over Christmas. The winning run came to an end when chasing home El Fabiolo in the Dublin Chase there since but still produced a very smart effort. Hard to beat.

Allegorie De Vassy (FR): A dual Grade 2 winner last season and was also an excellent second in this race when beaten favourite. As good as ever when winning 2 of her 3 starts this term, including when beating Riviere d’Etel by 4 lengths in a listed chase at Naas 5 weeks ago. Sure to go well again.

Mrs Paddy Power Mares’ Chase Preview

Mrs Paddy Power Mares’ Chase Best Bets

Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle

Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle Trends

• Age Preference: The majority, 10 out of the last 12 winners, have been aged 5 or 6.
• Price Trends: None of the last 12 winners were favourites, with only 3 out of 12 being in the top 3 in the betting. Moreover, 8 out of 12 winners were priced at 11/1 or bigger.
• Weight Consideration: Nine out of the last 12 winners carried between 11st 3lbs and 11st 9lbs.
• Last Run Performance: Seven out of the last 12 winners triumphed in their last race before the Martin Pipe Handicap Hurdle. Additionally, 10 out of 12 winners had their last run within the last 55 days.
• Previous Course and Distance Form, Hurdle Form, Rating, and Seasonal Form: Only 5 out of 11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, with just 1 out of 12 winners having at least 1 previous win there. Furthermore, 11 out of 12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 19-21 furlongs, with 6 out of 12 having at least 1 previous win over this distance. Regarding hurdle form, 11 out of 12 winners had at least 4 previous runs over hurdles, with all winners having at least 1 previous win, and 8 out of 12 having at least 2 previous wins over hurdles. All 12 winners had a rating of 134 or higher. Additionally, 10 out of 12 winners had at least 3 previous runs during the season, with 9 out of 12 having at least 1 previous win during the season.

Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle Preview

Jay Jay Reilly (IRE): Sprang a 33/1 surprise back hurdling for the first time in nearly 2 years when taking the competitive Lanzarote at Kempton in January. That effort possibly left a mark as he finished well held at Ascot 5 weeks later but that likely was not the target and could go well at a price

Waterford Whispers (IRE): Off the mark at the second attempt after 7 months off at Galway in October and took a big step forward when following up at Fairyhouse in December, well suited by the increase in trip. Improved further when runner-up on handicap bow at Leopardstown later that month and capable of better still.

Quai De Bourbon (FR): Fourth on the second start in France for Y. Fouin and looked a smart stayer in the making when winning a big-field maiden at Naas on his Irish debut (after 13 months off). Made to work hard when following up at Clonmel (16.5f, heavy) last time, and he remains unexposed sent handicapping upped in trip.

Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle Best Bets