Tommy Paul vs. John Isner
Head-to-head: Isner 2-0 Paul
Experienced John Isner seems attractive as he faces top seed Tommy Paul in Newport. Despite his age of 38, Isner’s knowledge of the unique Newport conditions and his past success make him a strong contender against Paul, who has limited experience on this grass court. The slow grass surface in Newport plays to Isner’s advantage, as it aids his return game, which is evident in his higher return points won percentage here (33% compared to 29.6% at other grass tournaments).
In fact, Isner boasts an impressive 27-6 win/loss record in Newport and 94% holds of serve. On the other hand, Paul has struggled against big servers in the past, posting a 3-8 win/loss record against them.
His prior encounters with Isner resulted in defeat.While Paul managed to overcome Milos Raonic at Wimbledon, it was against an opponent who had minimal playtime due to injury. Isner, though not at his best during Wimbledon, tends to shine when he’s comfortable and not part of the demanding tour grind. Newport provides that familiar environment for him, and his recent family additions seem to have boosted his game.
Isner’s last final in February, which was close to his home in Dallas, demonstrates his ability to perform well in familiar surroundings. Given Isner’s current form and comfort in Newport, the odds seem favourable for him in this matchup.
If he can perform close to his peak level, he presents a great opportunity to secure a victory on this court. It is unlikely that Tommy Paul will have many chances to break Isner’s serve. Therefore, considering the prediction of a 2-0 loss for Paul with two tie break losses, selecting Isner +2.5 games appears to be an extremely valuable option.