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Bet of the Day: Hoffenheim vs Dortmund Prediction and Betting Tips | September 29th, 2023 Our best Football Bet Of The Day. Match preview and stats from our leading experts.
Hoffenheim’s recent surge in the Bundesliga promises an enthralling encounter as they lock horns with Borussia Dortmund, the perennial title challengers. As the numbers stack up, both teams have their unique streaks and records to maintain or break, creating an anticipatory atmosphere for the upcoming game.
Despite an opening-day defeat to Freiburg, Hoffenheim have remarkably won their last four league matches. This sets a new record for the team, marking their best five-game kick-off to a Bundesliga season. The highlight of this streak was their 2-0 victory against last season’s fourth-placed team, Union Berlin.
However, history paints a slightly skeptical picture for Hoffenheim. In their previous two instances of four-game winning runs in the Bundesliga, the fifth game resulted in a draw. Additionally, coach Pellegrino Matarazzo’s record against Dortmund (W1, L4) and Hoffenheim’s recent home head-to-head form (W1, D1, L3) hint at their underdog status for the upcoming match.
While unbeaten, Dortmund is trailing Hoffenheim by a single point, thanks to their two draws (W3, D2). Their current form mirrors their 2018/19 season, where they managed an unbeaten streak up to round 16 but still finished second, falling behind rivals Bayern Munich. Their defense remains a concern, as Dortmund has been unable to keep a clean sheet during their away games this season. However, their offense showed promise in their recent 1-0 win at home, a score reminiscent of their two league head-to-heads last season against Hoffenheim (W2).
Maximilian Beier: Hoffenheim’s secret weapon, Beier has found the back of the net in all four of the team’s league wins this season. Marco Reus: Dortmund’s seasoned striker recently netted his 62nd match-opening goal in Bundesliga, placing him fifth in the league’s all-time list.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GVsCL2nikW0
An intriguing stat has emerged from the Bundesliga this season. Across the initial 45 matches, there’s been just one goalless game, leading to an average of 3.64 goals per match. This statistic surpasses the goal-per-match average of any of Europe’s ‘Big Five’ leagues!
| Date | Venue | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.02.23 | Hoffenheim | Hoffenheim vs Dortmund | 0-1 |
| 02.09.22 | Dortmund | Dortmund vs Hoffenheim | 1-0 |
| 22.01.22 | Hoffenheim | Hoffenheim vs Dortmund | 2-3 |
| 27.08.21 | Dortmund | Dortmund vs Hoffenheim | 3-2 |
| 13.02.21 | Dortmund | Dortmund vs Hoffenheim | 2-2 |
| 17.10.20 | Hoffenheim | Hoffenheim vs Dortmund | 0-1 |
| 27.06.20 | Dortmund | Dortmund vs Hoffenheim | 0-4 |
| 20.12.19 | Hoffenheim | Hoffenheim vs Dortmund | 2-1 |
| 09.02.19 | Dortmund | Dortmund vs Hoffenheim | 3-3 |
| 22.09.18 | Hoffenheim | Hoffenheim vs Dortmund | 1-1 |
Hoffenheim possible starting lineup:
Oliver Baumann, Ozan Kabak, John Anthony Brooks, Kevin Vogt, Pavel Kaderabek, Andrej Kramaric, Anton Stach, Grischa Prömel, Robert Skov, Ihlas Bebou and Maximilian Beier.
Dortmund possible starting lineup:
Gregor Kobel, Julian Ryerson, Mats Hummels, Nico Schlotterbeck, Ramy Bensebaini, Felix Nmecha, Salih Özcan, Marco Reus, Jamie Bynoe-Gittens, Niclas Füllkrug and Julian Brandt.
Dortmund is the favorite with odds of 2.10, while Hoffenheim stands at 3.00. The draw is priced at 3.80.
Based on the recent head-to-head data, Dortmund seems to have the upper hand, winning 6 out of the last 10 matches against Hoffenheim, while Hoffenheim has won only 2, with 2 draws in between. However, considering Hoffenheim’s recent form of winning four consecutive matches and setting their best-ever start to the Bundesliga season, it’s likely that they will pose a strong challenge to Dortmund.
Given the data and the teams’ recent form:
Final Predicted Score: Dortmund to Win and Both teams to score
| Parameter | Details/Findings |
|---|---|
| Hoffenheim’s Recent Form | Won last four league matches. Best five-game start to a Bundesliga season. |
| Hoffenheim’s Historical Context | Fifth game after four-match win streaks typically results in a draw. Pellegrino Matarazzo’s record against Dortmund: W1, L4. Recent home H2H form against Dortmund: W1, D1, L3. |
| Dortmund’s Recent Form | Unbeaten this season with W3, D2. Similar form in 2018/19 season. |
| Dortmund’s Defense Concerns | No clean sheets in away games this season. |
| Key Players | Hoffenheim: Maximilian Beier. Dortmund: Marco Reus. |
| Bundesliga Goal Average | 3.64 goals per match, highest among Europe’s ‘Big Five’ leagues. |
| Recent Head-to-Head Wins (Last 10) | Dortmund: 6, Hoffenheim: 2, Draws: 2. |
| Match Prediction | Hoffenheim 1 – 2 Dortmund. High-scoring match expected. |