Grand National Tips 2024 | Best Bets | Runners | Trends

Our expert Grand National Tips 2024! Discover the best bets, top runners, and latest trends. We have you covered for this years Grand National.

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Grand National Tips 2024 | Best Bets | Runners | Trends

Get ready for the thrill of the Grand National 2024 with our expert tips! As the excitement builds for the biggest event in the British horse racing calendar, we’ve got you covered with the best bets, top runners, and the latest trends. This year, the field of 34 will vie for victory in the 4-mile, 2-furlong spectacle, with organizers reducing the number of entries from last year to prioritize the safety of both horses and riders.

Favorites like Corach Rambler, last year’s winner, lead the betting markets with odds of 5/1. The lineup also includes Willie Mullins’s top contenders, I Am Maximus and Meetingofthewaters, offering punters plenty of excitement as they gear up for the ultimate test of skill, speed, and stamina at Aintree.

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Grand National Recent Trends

Given the recent changes to the Grand National, the profile of past winners has evolved. While historical trends remain relevant, it’s become increasingly beneficial to concentrate on the more recent editions of the race. You can check out the full list of trends further within the article but here are our key positive Grand National trends to consider before picking your Grand National bets

Key Positive Trends
Age: 8 of the last 11 winners were aged between 7 and 9
Last Run: 4 out of 11 winners won on their last run before the Grand National, 3 out of 11 placed on their last run, and 8 out of 11 winners had their last run within the last 35 days
Weights: 9 out of 11 winners carried weights between 10st 3lbs and 11st 5lbs

 

Grand National 2024 Runners

NUMBER HORSE AGE WGT JOCKEY TRAINER OR Odds
1 Noble Yeats 9 11-12 Harry Cobden Emmet Mullins 165 16/1
2 Nassalam 7 11-8 Caoilin Quinn Gary Moore 161 20/1
3 Coko Beach 9 11-8 Jordan Gainford Gordon Elliott 161 33/1
4 Capodanno 8 11-8 Keith Donoghue W P Mullins 161 33/1
5 I Am Maximus 8 11-6 Paul Townend W P Mullins 159 7/1
6 Minella Indo 11 11-6 Rachael Blackmore Henry De Bromhead 159 20/1
7 Corach Rambler 10 11-6 Derek Fox Lucinda Russell 159 5/1
8 Janidil 10 11-6 Jody McGarvey W P Mullins 159 100/1
9 Stattler 9 11-5 Mr P W Mullins W P Mullins 158 40/1
10 Mahler Mission 8 11-5 Ben Harvey John C McConnell 158 16/1
11 Delta Work 11 11-4 Jack Kennedy Gordon Elliott 157 25/1
12 Foxy Jacks 10 11-4 Gavin Brouder M F Morris 157 66/1
13 Galvin 10 11-2 Sam Ewing Gordon Elliott 155 33/1
14 Farouk d’Alene 9 11-1 Donagh Meyler Gordon Elliott 154 66/1
15 Eldorado Allen 10 11-0 Brendan Powell Joe Tizzard 153 100/1
16 Ain’t That A Shame 10 10-13 Mr David Maxwell Henry De Bromhead 152 50/1
17 Vanillier 9 10-12 Sean Flanagan Gavin Cromwell 151 9/1
18 Mr Incredible 8 10-11 Brian Hayes W P Mullins 150 12/1
19 Run Wild Fred 10 10-10 Mr T Hamilton Gordon Elliott 149 80/1
20 Latenightpass 11 10-10 Miss Gina Andrews T Ellis 149 25/1
21 Minella Crooner 8 10-10 Kevin Sexton Gordon Elliott 149 80/1
22 Adamantly Chosen 7 10-9 Sean O’Keeffe W P Mullins 148 50/1
23 Mac Tottie 11 10-9 James Bowen Peter Bowen 148 66/1
24 Chemical Energy 8 10-9 Danny Gilligan Gordon Elliott 148 33/1
25 Limerick Lace 7 10-8 Mark Walsh Gavin Cromwell 147 16/1
26 Meetingofthewaters 7 10-8 Danny Mullins W P Mullins 147 8/1
27 The Goffer 7 10-8 Sean Bowen Gordon Elliott 147 66/1
28 Roi Mage 12 10-8 James Reveley Patrick Griffin 147 50/1
29 Glengouly 8 10-7 Michael O’Sullivan W P Mullins 146 66/1
30 Galia Des Liteaux 8 10-7 Harry Skelton Dan Skelton 146 25/1
31 Panda Boy 8 10-7 J J Slevin Martin Brassil 146 14/1
32 Eklat De Rire 10 10-7 Darragh O’Keeffe Henry De Bromhead 146 100/1
33 Chambard 12 10-7 Miss Lucy Turner Venetia Williams 146 66/1
34 Kitty’s Light 8 10-7 Jack Tudor Christian Williams 146 14/1

 

Grand National Runner by Runner Guide

Noble Yeats (IRE) A top-class chaser who made history by winning this race two years ago as a 7-year-old. Despite carrying a significantly higher weight last year, he displayed his stamina by finishing fourth. He has recently been campaigned over hurdles, winning the Cleeve before a midfield finish in the Stayers’ Hurdle last month. He holds each-way claims once again.

Nassalam (FR) Caught the eye with a fourth-place finish in the Grand Sefton here in November and showed improved form with blinkers, winning the Welsh National emphatically over Christmas. However, his Gold Cup run was disappointing, and carrying a big weight here presents a tough challenge.

Coko Beach (FR) This likeable grey has been in excellent form this campaign, winning the Troytown before a strong second in the Becher here. He performed well in Cross Country, winning at Punchestown in February, although he has struggled to stay in contention in the last two renewals of this race from lower marks.

Capodanno (FR) regained winning form with a victory in the Grade 2 Cotswold Chase at Cheltenham in January. Despite a slightly disappointing performance in the Ryanair last month, his form remains solid. However, he seemed to lack stamina in this race last year.

I Am Maximus (FR) Displayed remarkable stamina in winning last season’s Irish National. He has improved this season, winning two out of his four starts, notably defeating Vanillier in the Bobbyjo in February. Although his jumping is a concern, he possesses class.

Minella Indo (IRE) The 2021 Gold Cup hero returned from a seven-month break to win a Grade 3 at Punchestown in October. Although he finished fourth in the Cross Country Chase at Cheltenham in December, there is a suspicion that this 11-year-old may find a few rivals too strong.

Corach Rambler (IRE) Emulated his stablemate One For Arthur by winning this race impressively last year, with Vanillier finishing second. His repeat bid appears to have been a target, especially after his strong third-place finish in last month’s Gold Cup. He looks well-weighted and has plenty to offer.

Janidil (FR) Trained by Willie Mullins, this 10-year-old won the Grade 2 Red Mills Chase at Gowran Park last season. However, his recent performances have been underwhelming, including a disappointing run in last month’s Stayers’ Hurdle at the Festival. There are doubts about his stamina returning to chasing.

Stattler (IRE) Stattler quickly established himself as a high-class novice over fences, winning the National Hunt Chase two seasons ago. However, his performances this campaign have been underwhelming. He finished a distant fourth over Cross Country fences at Punchestown in February.

Mahler Mission (IRE) An improved model in his switch to chasing, Mahler Mission showed his potential when leading until departing two out in last season’s National Hunt Chase at Cheltenham. He showed sharpness in his return, finishing a fine second in the Coral Gold Cup in December. Connections are keen to keep him fresh for this race, and he is considered a big player.

Delta Work (FR) Having finished third here two years ago, Delta Work landed his second consecutive Cross Country Chase at Cheltenham. Despite unseating back here 12 months ago, he should be sharper after a spin in a Grade 2 Hurdle at Navan in February, especially with first-time blinkers enlisted.

Foxy Jacks (IRE) Foxy Jacks hit top form during the second half of last year, winning the Midlands National at Kilbeggan and then triumphing in a Cross Country contest at Cheltenham in December. Although he finished fourth over hurdles since, he needs to minimize errors in this race.

Galvin (IRE) A very smart chaser with a strong record at Cheltenham, Galvin was runner-up behind stablemate Delta Work in last season’s Cross Country Chase. While his efforts this winter suggest he retains plenty of ability, it’s worth noting he unseated at the first in this race 12 months ago.

Farouk D’alene (FR) Trained by Gordon Elliott, this 9-year-old won twice over fences as a novice, including a Grade 2 in early 2022. However, his jumping in this sphere has been unconvincing, and he didn’t mark himself as a leading candidate for this race when pulled up in last month’s Pertemps at Cheltenham.

Eldorado Allen (FR) Eldorado Allen, a grey capable of smart form on his day over fences, finished fourth in the Coral Gold Cup at Newbury in December. However, he was well beaten in a rare start over hurdles at Plumpton in January and was pulled up in the Ultima at Cheltenham since. Others are preferred.

Ain’t That A Shame (IRE) Despite failing for stamina in last year’s renewal, Ain’t That A Shame showed a return to form when winning the Thyestes Chase in January. However, concerns about his suitability for this trip persist.

Vanillier (FR) The Albert Bartlett winner in 2021, Vanillier ran a strong race from a long way back when finishing second to Corach Rambler 12 months ago. With a 9 lb advantage over his old rival, he’s an interesting contender after a good second in the Bobbyjo in February.

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Mr Incredible (IRE) Although sometimes quirky, there’s no doubting Mr Incredible’s ability. He was placed in the Classic Chase and Kim Muir, and returned with a solid second in the Midlands National last month.

Run Wild Fred (IRE) A smart novice chaser, Run Wild Fred fell in consecutive Nationals and his record has been inconsistent since. He pulled up in the Ultima at Cheltenham 32 days ago, making others more persuasive.

Latenightpass A multiple point winner, is well proven over the National fences, having won the 2022 Foxhunters. His recent success in a Cross Country discipline at Cheltenham makes him an interesting runner for Dan Skelton, especially after his latest spin over hurdles.

Minella Crooner (IRE) A useful chaser, Minella Crooner returned with a win in a 4-runner listed chase at Wexford and finished third in a Tramore Grade 3 on New Year’s Day. However, he struggled since, and it’s uncertain if he’ll relish this test, especially considering his performances beyond 3 miles.

Adamantly Chosen (IRE) This 7-year-old resumed winning ways in a 5-runner Down Royal chase last month but hasn’t fully tested his stamina at this trip. There are definite reservations about whether he wants this far, so others are preferred.

Mac Tottie Won twice over the National fences during the 2021/22 campaign and added another victory on his return on Boxing Day. However, his performances over hurdles/fences since have been below his best, and stamina is a concern with this significant increase in trip.

Chemical Energy (IRE) An easy winner of his first two starts over fences, Chemical Energy produced a career-best effort when runner-up in the NH Chase at the Festival last term. However, he didn’t get home in the Irish National thereafter and has been absent since finishing midfield in the Kerry equivalent last summer. This race may stretch him.

Limerick Lace (IRE) a smart mare, is enjoying a successful season, including a Grade 2 Mares’ Chase win at the Festival last month. Interesting she’s the choice of Mark Walsh, and she’s looking to be the first mare since Nickel Coin in 1951 to win this race.

Meetingofthewaters (IRE) Well-served by an increase in stamina, Meetingofthewaters won a 27-runner Leopardstown handicap over Christmas and was a cracking third in last month’s Ultima Handicap at Cheltenham. Further progress is likely for this top stable contender.

The Goffer (IRE) Lightly raced this term, The Goffer shaped better than the distance beaten suggests in the Ultima Handicap at the Festival 32 days ago. It’s possible he’ll be sharper with that run under his belt, and he’s on a workable mark, although this is a sterner assignment.

Roi Mage (FR) Made a good fist of things when seventh 12 months ago. Although he produced solid efforts since, the last 12-year-old winner of this race dates back 20 years.

Glengouly (FR) Cemented a positive start to the season with a solid second in the Thyestes Chase at Gowran in January. However, he needs to settle better up this markedly increased trip after being well held in a Plate Handicap at Cheltenham.

Galia Des Liteaux (FR) A low-mileage mare, Galia Des Liteaux showed another dimension to her game when second in the Classic Chase at Warwick in January. Despite not performing at her best at Exeter since, she remains with untapped potential over marathon trips.

Panda Boy (IRE) a smart chaser, finished fifth in last season’s Irish National and stayed on for second behind Meetingofthewaters at Leopardstown in December. This test looks tailor-made for him, considering his solid fourth over hurdles in February.

Eklat De Rire (FR) Although lightly raced since unseating in the Brown Advisory at Cheltenham three years ago, Eklat De Rire showed promise when runner-up in a 4-runner chase at Fairyhouse in February. However, others are more appealing.

Chambard (FR) Won the Kim Muir and the Becher Chase over these fences in December. However, his revised mark seems enough to halt him in competitive contests since, so it’s best to look elsewhere.

Kitty’s Light Signed off last season with an exceptional hat-trick including victory in the Scottish Grand National. While underfoot conditions may not be ideal the more the ground dries the more his chance improves. This has clearly been the target since and looked to be coming to hand when finishing midfield at Cheltenham last time. He’d be the most heart-warming of winners if successful and hits all the right trends.

Grand National Tips 2024

Horse Grand National Best Bets
Kittys Light Long-term fancy for this. While we would ideally want slightly quicker ground, it’s hard to get away from his profile. His current handicap mark could seriously underestimate his ability and ticks lots of boxes.
Vanillier Second in this race last year, and the shrewd Gavin Cromwell has done a very good job to have him on just a 4lb higher mark this year. Was out of position before staying on late behind Corach Rambler last year, and on these more favorable terms, with that experience, looks the one to beat given luck in running.
Noble Yeats Winner two years ago and third last year. Emmet Mullins has taken a hurdles campaign this year to keep him fresh again for this, and from a 1lb lower mark than last year, he looks like the rock-solid each-way play.

 

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Grand National Recent Trends

  • Age: Over the past 11 years, 8 out of 11 winners were aged between 7 and 9.
  • Price: Among the last 11 races, only 2 favorites or joint favorites emerged victorious. Additionally, 3 out of 11 winners were among the top 3 in betting, while 8 out of 11 winners were priced at 11/1 or higher.
  • Last Run: In 4 out of 11 instances, winners triumphed in their last race before the Grand National, with 3 out of 11 placing in their final outing. Moreover, 8 out of 11 winners had their last race within the last 35 days.
  • Cheltenham Festival: 6 out of 11 winners participated in the Cheltenham Festival in their last race, with 2 in the Cross Country Chase, 1 in the Pertemps Final, 1 in the Gold Cup, and 2 in the Trophy Handicap Chase.
  • Weights: 9 out of 11 winners carried weights between 10st 3lbs and 11st 5lbs.
  • Previous Course Form: 8 out of 11 winners had at least one prior run at Aintree, with 3 out of 11 winners boasting at least one previous victory at the course.
  • Previous Distance Form: 9 out of 11 winners had competed in at least 7 races over distances of 3 miles or longer, with 8 out of 11 securing at least one victory over the same distances, and 7 out of 11 claiming at least 2 victories over such distances.
  • Previous Hurdle Form: 9 out of 11 winners had participated in at least 6 hurdle races, with 9 out of 11 recording at least 2 victories in hurdle races.
  • Previous Chase Form: 9 out of 11 winners had engaged in at least 10 previous chase races, with 8 out of 11 boasting at least 3 victories in chase races.
  • Rating: Winners typically fell within the rating range of 146-160, with 9 out of 11 winners fitting within this bracket.
  • Grade Wins: 7 out of 11 winners had secured at least one prior victory in grade 1-3 races.
  • Season Form: All 11 winners had participated in at least 3 races in the season, with 9 out of 11 winners having no more than 6 races that season. Additionally, 8 out of 11 winners had recorded at least one victory in the season.

Grand National Historical Trends

  • Rated 137 or higher: 31 out of 32 winners met this criterion.
  • Ran no more than 55 days ago: 30 out of 32 winners had their last race within this timeframe.
  • Won over at least 3m (chase) before: 28 out of 32 winners had previously won over this distance in a chase race.
  • Won no more than 6 times over fences before: 27 out of 32 winners had a maximum of 6 previous victories over fences.
  • Returned a double-figure price: 25 out of 32 winners had odds in double figures.
  • Aged 9 or older: 25 out of 32 winners were aged 9 or above.
  • Carried 10-13 or less: 25 out of 32 winners carried a weight of 10-13 or less.
  • Came from outside the top 3 in the betting: 22 out of 32 winners emerged from beyond the top 3 in betting odds.
  • Aged 10 years-old or younger: 21 out of 32 winners were aged 10 or younger.
  • Had won between 4-6 times over fences before: 19 out of 32 winners had won between 4 to 6 times over fences previously.
  • Finished in the top 4 last time out: 20 out of 32 winners finished in the top 4 in their previous race.
  • Won by an Irish-bred horse: 19 out of 32 winners were bred in Ireland.
  • Carried 10-8 or less: 18 out of 32 winners carried a weight of 10-8 or less.
  • Placed favourites: 18 out of 32 winners were placed favorites.
  • Aged 9 or 10 years-old: 16 out of 32 winners were aged 9 or 10 years-old.
  • Ran at Cheltenham last time out: 13 out of 32 winners had their last race at Cheltenham.
  • Trained in Ireland: 13 out of 32 winners were trained in Ireland.
  • Ran in a previous Grand National: 7 out of 32 winners had previously competed in a Grand National.
  • Won last time out: 8 out of 32 winners won their last race.
  • Won by the favourite or joint-favourite: 7 out of 32 winners were either the favorite or joint-favorite.
  • Won by a horse aged 7 years-old or less: Only 1 out of 32 winners was aged 7 years-old or less.

Past Grand National Winners

Year Horse Age Weight Trainer Jockey SP
2023 Corach Rambler 9 10-5 Lucinda Russell Derek Fox 8/1
2022 Noble Yeats 7 10-10 Emmet Mullins Sam Waley-Cohen 50/1
2021 Minella Times 8 10-03 Henry De Bromhead Rachael Blackmore 11/1
2019 Tiger Roll 9 11-5 Gordon Elliott Davy Russell 4/1
2018 Tiger Roll 8 10-13 Gordon Elliott Davy Russell 14/1
2017 One For Arthur 8 10-11 Lucinda Russell Derek Fox 14/1
2016 Rule The World 9 10-07 Mouse Morris David Mullins 33/1
2015 Many Clouds 8 11-09 Oliver Sherwood Leighton Aspell 25/1
2014 Pineau De Re 11 10-06 Dr Richard Newland Leighton Aspell 25/1
2013 Auroras Encore 11 10-03 Mrs S Smith Ryan Mania 66/1
2012 Neptune Collonges 11 11-06 P Nicholls D Jacob 33/1
2011 Ballabriggs 10 11-00 D McCain J Maguire 14/1

 


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