Cheltenham Festival Stats, Trends, Pointers Day One Tuesday 14th March 2023

Day 1 of the Cheltenham Festival kicks off with the Supreme Novices Hurdle with the highlight being the Champion Hurdle


Ready for the Roar, day 1 of the Cheltenham Festival kicks off with the Supreme Novices Hurdle with the highlight being the Champion Hurdle check out our pointers for the race along with the best bookmaker offers.

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Supreme Novices Hurdle Stats

Key Profile:

  • 19 of the last 20 Won 50%+ of hurdle starts
  • 18 of the last 20 winners were aged 5 or 6
  • 10 of the last 11 winners have all won a graded Novice Hurdle before and a winner of 2 or more hurdle races
  • 9 of the last 11 had won on a left-handed track

Key Race:

Deloite/Chanelle Pharma Hurdle remains a strong trial again with 2021 winner Appreciate It, Ballyadam (2nd) filling the same places at Cheltenham.

Key Trainer

Willie Mullins normally throws plenty of darts but has won 5 of the last 10 renewals, all ridden by the number 1 stable jockey. This side of the Irish sea and Nicky Henderson has won 3 of the last.

Key Jockey 

Nico De Boinville has ridden the winner on 3 occasions from 6 mounts.

Supreme Novices Hurdle Past Winners

Year Winner Stallion Age Jockey Trainer Odds OR Last ran
2022 Constitution Hill Blue Bresil (FR) 5 Boinville, Nico Henderson, N J 9/4 148 66d
2021 Appreciate It (IRE) Jeremy (USA) 7 Townend, P Mullins, W P 8/11 153 37d
2020 Shishkin (IRE) Sholokhov (IRE) 6 Boinville, Nico Henderson, N J 6/1 153 33d
2019 Klassical Dream (FR) Dream Well (fr) 5 Walsh, R Mullins, W P 6/1 154 37d
2018 Summerville Boy (IRE) Sandmason 6 Fehily, Noel George, T R 9/1 150 66d
2017 Labaik (FR) Montmartre (FR) 6 Kennedy, J W Elliott, Gordon 25/1 144 16d
2016 Altior (IRE) High Chaparral (IRE) 6 Boinville, Nico Henderson, N J 4/1 155 80d
2015 Douvan (FR) Walk In The Park (IRE) 5 Walsh, R Mullins, W P 2/1 155 59d
2014 Vautour (FR) Robin Des Champs (FR) 5 Walsh, R Mullins, W P 7/2 155 30d
2013 Champagne Fever (IRE) Stowaway 6 Walsh, R Mullins, W P 5/1 148 31d
2012 Cinders And Ashes Beat Hollow 5 Maguire, Jason McCain Jnr, D 10/1 142 52d
2011 Al Ferof (FR) Dom Alco (FR) 6 Walsh, R Nicholls, P F 10/1 142 31d
2010 Menorah (IRE) Kings Theatre (IRE) 5 Johnson, Richard Hobbs, P J 12/1 147 24d
2009 Go Native (IRE) Double Eclipse (IRE) 6 Carberry, P Meade, Noel 12/1 139 16d
2008 Captain Cee Bee (IRE) Germany (USA) 7 Thornton, Robert Harty, Edward and Patrick 17/2 142 115d
2007 Ebaziyan (IRE) Daylami (IRE) 6 Condon, D J Mullins, W P 40/1 0 40d
2006 Noland Exit To Nowhere (USA) 5 Walsh, R Nicholls, P F 6/1 138 30d
2005 Arcalis Lear Fan (USA) 5 Lee, G Johnson, J Howard 20/1 136 31d
2004 Brave Inca (IRE) Good Thyne (USA) 6 Cash, B M Murphy, C A 7/2 0 37d
2003 Back In Front (IRE) Bob Back (USA) 6 Williamson, N OGrady, E J 3/1 0 20d

 

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Arkle Challenge Trophy Novices’ Chase

Key Profile:

  • A victory last time out, last 13 winners.
  • Won a Grade 1 or 2 Chase, 17 of the last 23.
  • Raced at Cheltenham in the past, 15 of the last 17 winners had won (or been placed)
  • 13 of last 15 already rated 151+
  • 11 last 12 winners all aged 6 or 7

Key Race:

Arkle Novice Chase has been the key trial for the Irish runners in the field, 2023 El Fabio

Key Trainers:

  • Nicky Henderson 7 victories and numerous place efforts to his name
  • Willie Mullins Won 4 of the last 8
  • Between them winning 8 of the last 11

Key Jockeys:

Nico De Boinville 2 winners from 4 rides

Arkle Trophy Past Winners

Year Winner Stallion Age Jockey Trainer Odds OR Last ran
2022 Edwardstone Kayf Tara 8 Cannon, Tom J King, A 5/2 159 31d
2021 Shishkin (IRE) Sholokhov (IRE) 7 Boinville, Nico Henderson, N J 4/9 164 45d
2020 Put The Kettle On (IRE) Stowaway 6 Coleman, A Bromhead, Henry De 16/1 144 114d
2019 Duc Des Genievres (FR) Bucks Boum (FR) 6 Townend, P Mullins, W P 5/1 151 24d
2018 Footpad (FR) Creachadoir (IRE) 6 Walsh, R Mullins, W P 5/6 162 38d
2017 Altior (IRE) High Chaparral (IRE) 7 Boinville, Nico Henderson, N J 1/4 170 31d
2016 Douvan (FR) Walk In The Park (IRE) 6 Walsh, R Mullins, W P 1/4 161 51d
2015 Un De Sceaux (FR) Denham Red (FR) 7 Walsh, R Mullins, W P 4/6 166 44d
2014 Western Warhorse (IRE) Westerner 6 Scudamore, Tom Pipe, D E 33/1 135 62d
2013 Simonsig Fair Mix (IRE) 7 Geraghty, B J Henderson, N J 8/15 160 75d
2012 Sprinter Sacre (FR) Network (GER) 6 Geraghty, B J Henderson, N J 8/11 169 25d
2011 Captain Chris (IRE) Kings Theatre (IRE) 7 Johnson, Richard Hobbs, P J 6/1 153 17d
2010 Sizing Europe (IRE) Pistolet Bleu (IRE) 8 Lynch, A E Bromhead, Henry De 6/1 157 80d
2009 Forpadydeplasterer (IRE) Moscow Society (USA) 7 Geraghty, B J Cooper, Thomas 8/1 152 23d
2008 Tidal Bay (IRE) Flemensfirth (USA) 7 ORegan, Denis Johnson, J Howard 6/1 154 38d
2007 My Way De Solzen (FR) Assessor (IRE) 7 Thornton, Robert King, A 7/2 0 52d
2006 Voy Por Ustedes (FR) Villez (USA) 5 Thornton, Robert King, A 15/2 0 24d
2005 Contraband Red Ransom (USA) 7 Murphy, Timmy Pipe, M C 7/1 147 52d
2004 Well Chief (GER) Night Shift (USA) 5 McCoy, A P Pipe, M C 9/1 0 42d
2003 Azertyuiop (FR) Baby Turk 6 Walsh, R Nicholls, P F 5/4 0 24d

14.50 Ultima Handicap Chase

Key Profile:

  • Previously ran at the Cheltenham Festival 10 of the last 13
  • Wearing headgear 9 of the last 11
  • Novice or second season over fences
  • 12 of the last 13 winners finished Top 6 last time out

Key Race:

7 of the last 8 winners ran at Cheltenham that season

Key Trainer:

Normally a race for the English, last 11 trained in Britain. Nicky Henderson, David Pipe & Jonjo O`Neill have trained multiple winners

Ultima Handicap Previous Winners:

Year Winner Stallion Age Jockey Trainer Odds OR Weight Last ran
2022 Corach Rambler (IRE) Jeremy (USA) 8 Fox, Derek R Russell, Miss Lucinda V 10/1 10-2 140 24d
2021 Vintage Clouds (IRE) Cloudings (IRE) 11 Mania, Ryan Smith, Mrs S J 28/1 10-11 143 25d
2020 The Conditional (IRE) Kalanisi (IRE) 8 Powell, Brendan Bridgwater, D G 15/2 10-6 139 59d
2019 Beware The Bear (IRE) Shantou (USA) 9 McGrath, Jeremiah Henderson, N J 10/1 11-8 151 70d
2018 Coo Star Sivola (FR) Assessor (IRE) 6 Kelly, Lizzie (3) Williams, Nick 5/1 10-10 142 18d
2017 Un Temps Pour Tout (IRE) Robin Des Champs (FR) 8 Scudamore, Tom Pipe, D E 9/1 11-12 155 45d
2016 Un Temps Pour Tout (IRE) Robin Des Champs (FR) 7 Scudamore, Tom Pipe, D E 11/1 11-7 148 45d
2015 The Druids Nephew (IRE) Kings Theatre (IRE) 8 Geraghty, B J Mulholland, N P 8/1 11-3 146 45d
2014 Holywell (IRE) Gold Well 7 McLernon, R P ONeill, Jonjo 10/1 11-6 145 20d
2013 Golden Chieftain (IRE) Tikkanen (USA) 8 Powell, Brendan (3) Tizzard, C L 28/1 10-2 132 18d
2012 Alfie Sherrin Kayf Tara 9 McLernon, R P ONeill, Jonjo 14/1 10-0 129 24d
2011 Bensalem (IRE) Turtle Island (IRE) 8 Thornton, Robert King, A 5/1 11-2 143 24d
2010 Chief Dan George (IRE) Lord Americo (IRE) 10 Aspell, P Moffatt, James 33/1 10-10 142 20d
2009 Wichita Lineman (IRE) Kings Theatre (IRE) 8 McCoy, A P ONeill, Jonjo 5/1 10-9 142 94d
2008 An Accordion (IRE) Accordion (IRE) 7 Scudamore, Tom Pipe, D E 7/1 10-12 143 45d
2007 Joes Edge (IRE) Supreme Leader 10 Russell, D N Murphy, Ferdy 50/1 10-6 130 114d
2006 Dun Doire (IRE) Leading Counsel (USA) 7 Walsh, R Martin, A J 7/1 10-9 129 47d
2005 Kelami (FR) Lute Antique (FR) 7 Thornton, Robert Doumen, F 8/1 10-2 133 24d
2004 Fork Lightning (IRE) Roselier (FR) 8 Thornton, Robert King, A 7/1 10-5 136 33d
2003 Youlneverwalkalone (IRE) Montelimar (USA) 9 Geraghty, B J Roche, C 7/1 10-11 142 58d

 

15.30 Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy

Key Profile:

  • A victory last time out, 10 of the last 12 also unbeaten that season
  • Previous Grade 1 winner, rated 157+
  • 12 or fewer runs over hurdles
  • Mares currently 4 wins from the last 7

Key Race:

6 of the last 14 winners ran in the Christmas Hurdle Kempton

Key Trainers:

Between them Nicky Henderson and Willie Mullins have won 9 of the last 14 Champion hurdles

Key Jockeys:

Rachel Blackmore 2 from 3 thanks to Honeysuckle. Paul Townend not to ride the winner yet

Champion Hurdle Past Winners:

Year Winner Stallion Age Jockey Trainer Odds OR Weight Last ran
2022 Honeysuckle Sulamani (IRE) 8 Blackmore, Rachael Bromhead, Henry De 8/11 11-3 165 37d
2021 Honeysuckle Sulamani (IRE) 7 Blackmore, Rachael Bromhead, Henry De 11/10 11-3 161 38d
2020 Epatante (FR) No Risk At All (FR) 6 Geraghty, B J Henderson, N J 2/1 11-3 159 75d
2019 Espoir Dallen (FR) Voix Du Nord (FR) 5 Walsh, M P Cromwell, Gavin Patrick 16/1 11-10 162 44d
2018 Buveur Dair (FR) Crillon (FR) 7 Geraghty, B J Henderson, N J 4/6 11-10 169 38d
2017 Buveur Dair (FR) Crillon (FR) 6 Fehily, Noel Henderson, N J 5/1 11-10 157 38d
2016 Annie Power (IRE) Shirocco (GER) 8 Walsh, R Mullins, W P 5/2 11-3 162 27d
2015 Faugheen (IRE) Germany (USA) 7 Walsh, R Mullins, W P 4/5 11-10 169 74d
2014 Jezki (IRE) Milan 6 Geraghty, B J Harrington, Mrs John 9/1 11-10 165 44d
2013 Hurricane Fly (IRE) Montjeu (IRE) 9 Walsh, R Mullins, W P 13/8 11-10 172 44d
2012 Rock On Ruby (IRE) Oscar (IRE) 7 Fehily, Noel Nicholls, P F 11/1 11-10 165 78d
2011 Hurricane Fly (IRE) Montjeu (IRE) 7 Walsh, R Mullins, W P 11/4 11-10 167 51d
2010 Binocular (FR) Enrique 6 McCoy, A P Henderson, N J 9/1 11-10 163 38d
2009 Punjabi Komaite (USA) 6 Geraghty, B J Henderson, N J 22/1 11-10 163 24d
2008 Katchit (IRE) Kalanisi (IRE) 5 Thornton, Robert King, A 10/1 11-10 159 24d
2007 Sublimity (FR) Selkirk (USA) 7 Carberry, P A Carr, John G 16/1 11-10 0 45d
2006 Brave Inca (IRE) Good Thyne (USA) 8 McCoy, A P Murphy, C A 7/4 11-10 0 44d
2005 Hardy Eustace (IRE) Archway (IRE) 8 ODwyer, C Hughes, D T 7/2 11-10 0 31d
2004 Hardy Eustace (IRE) Archway (IRE) 7 ODwyer, C Hughes, D T 33/1 11-10 0 31d
2003 Rooster Booster Riverwise (USA) 9 Johnson, Richard Hobbs, P J 9/2 12-0 167 38d

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16.10 Close Brothers Mares’ Hurdle (Registered As The David Nicholson Mares’ Hurdle)

Key Profile:

  • Market leaders worth following, Fav or 2nd Fav won on 11 of the 15 occasions
  • Previously won over the distance, 14 of the last 15 winners had won over at least 2m4f
  • Won or placed against the boys in a graded race,10 of the last 15 winners had won a Grade 1 or 2

Key Race:

No significant race so worth noting 12 of the 15 winners had won or placed in an open Graded Race

Key Trainer:

Willie Mullins, 9 victories from the 14 renewals of the race. Irish-trained mares dominate winning 12 of last 15

Mares Hurdle Previous Winners:

Year Winner Stallion Age Jockey Trainer Odds OR Weight Last ran
2022 Maries Rock (IRE) Milan 7 Boinville, Nico Henderson, N J 18/1 11-5 140 31d
2021 Black Tears Jeremy (USA) 7 Kennedy, J W Foster, Mrs Denise 11/1 11-5 148 15d
2020 Honeysuckle Sulamani (IRE) 6 Blackmore, Rachael Bromhead, Henry De 9/4 11-5 158 38d
2019 Roksana (IRE) Dubai Destination (USA) 7 Skelton, Harry Skelton, Daniel 10/1 11-5 142 38d
2018 Benie Des Dieux (FR) Great Pretender (IRE) 7 Walsh, R Mullins, W P 9/2 11-5 147 31d
2017 Apples Jade (FR) Saddler Maker (IRE) 5 Cooper, Bryan J Elliott, Gordon 7/2 11-5 153 20d
2016 Vroum Vroum Mag (FR) Voix Du Nord (FR) 7 Walsh, R Mullins, W P 4/6 11-5 154 52d
2015 Glens Melody (IRE) Kings Theatre (IRE) 7 Townend, P Mullins, W P 6/1 11-5 150 31d
2014 Quevega (FR) Robin Des Champs (FR) 10 Walsh, R Mullins, W P 8/11 11-5 167 320d
2013 Quevega (FR) Robin Des Champs (FR) 9 Walsh, R Mullins, W P 8/11 11-5 163 320d
2012 Quevega (FR) Robin Des Champs (FR) 8 Walsh, R Mullins, W P 4/7 11-5 158 313d
2011 Quevega (FR) Robin Des Champs (FR) 7 Walsh, R Mullins, W P 5/6 11-5 158 327d
2010 Quevega (FR) Robin Des Champs (FR) 6 Walsh, R Mullins, W P 6/4 11-5 156 319d
2009 Quevega (FR) Robin Des Champs (FR) 5 Walsh, R Mullins, W P 2/1 11-3 155 20d
2008 Whiteoak (IRE) Oscar (IRE) 5 Maguire, Jason McCain Jnr, D 20/1 11-0 129 27d

 

16.50 Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle

Key Profile:

  • Last run not in a handicap and may have been against older horse
  • No more than 3 runs over Hurdles, 11 of the last 18 winners had run just 3 times over hurdles before
  • 13 of the last 18 winners were rated between 124-134,
  • 7 of the last 11 winners all 25/1+

Key Races:

Ran in the Adonis at Kempton (2 winners in last 10) or Spring Juvenile at Leopardstown

Key Trainers:

Gordon Elliot (won 3 of the last 9) and Paul Nicholls have both won the race multiple times the latter particular strong with French breds. Willie Mullins yet to win the race.

Fred Winter Past Winners

Year Winner Stallion Age Jockey Trainer Odds OR Weight Last ran
2022 Brazil (IRE) Galileo (IRE) 4 Walsh, M P Roche, Padraig 10/1 11-9 137 31d
2021 Jeff Kidder (IRE) Hallowed Crown (AUS) 4 Flanagan, S W Meade, Noel 80/1 10-8 125 80d
2020 Aramax (GER) Maxios 4 Walsh, M P Elliott, Gordon 15/2 11-8 138 32d
2019 Band of Outlaws (IRE) Fast Company (IRE) 4 Slevin, J J OBrien, Joseph Patrick 7/2 11-8 139 32d
2018 Veneer Of Charm (IRE) Fast Company (IRE) 4 Kennedy, J W Elliott, Gordon 33/1 11-0 129 53d
2017 Flying Tiger (IRE) Soldier Of Fortune (IRE) 4 Johnson, Richard Williams, Nick 33/1 11-5 134 18d
2016 Diego Du Charmil (FR) Ballingarry (IRE) 4 Twiston-Davies, Sam Nicholls, P F 13/2 11-1 133
2015 Qualando (FR) Lando (GER) 4 Scholfield, Nick Nicholls, P F 25/1 11-0 131 19d
2014 Hawk High (IRE) High Chaparral (IRE) 4 Hughes, Brian Easterby, T D 33/1 11-1 130 25d
2013 Flaxen Flare (IRE) Windsor Knot (IRE) 4 Condon, D J Elliott, Gordon 25/1 10-7 127 32d
2012 Une Artiste (FR) Alberto Giacometti (IRE) 4 McGrath, Jeremiah (5) Henderson, N J 40/1 10-8 127 18d
2011 What A Charm (IRE) Key Of Luck (USA) 4 Townend, P Moore, A L T 9/1 10-6 115 21d
2010 Sanctuaire (FR) Kendor (FR) 4 Walsh, R Nicholls, P F 4/1 11-2 127 22d
2009 Silk Affair (IRE) Barathea (IRE) 4 OBrien, T J Quinlan, M G 11/1 10-4 125 14d
2008 Crack Away Jack Gold Away (IRE) 4 Carberry, P Lavelle, Miss E C 14/1 11-10 133 25d
2007 Gaspara (FR) Astarabad (USA) 4 Glassonbury, Andrew (5) Pipe, D E 9/2 10-11 130 3d
2006 Shamayoun (FR) Kahyasi (IRE) 4 Brennan, P J Egerton, C R 40/1 11-3 124 20d
2005 Dabiroun (IRE) Desert Prince (IRE) 4 Carberry, Miss N (5) Nolan, Paul 20/1 11-4 124 37d

 

17.30 Ukraine Appeal National Hunt Challenge Cup Novices’ Chase

Key Profile:

  • Experience in a Graded Chase, 11 of the last 13 had contested such a race.
  • 1st or 2nd place finish over 3 mile or more that season
  • Last 10 winners rated 142+
  • Aged 7 or 8, 12 of the last 17 winners
  • Irish based jockeys ridden 12 of the last 13 winners

Key Races:

Ran at a previous Cheltenham Festival, 9 of the last 13 winners

Key Trainer:

Gordon Elliot has won 3 of the last 8 renewals

Key Jockey

Jamie Codd 3 wins, Patrick Mullins 3 wins.

National Hunt Chase Past Winners

Year Winner Stallion Age Jockey Trainer Odds OR Weight Last ran
2022 Stattler (IRE) Stowaway 7 Mullins, Mr P W Mullins, W P 2/1 11-6 153 44d
2021 Galvin (IRE) Gold Well 7 Kennedy, J W Ferguson, I R 7/2 11-6 152 144d
2020 Ravenhill (IRE) Winged Love (IRE) 10 Codd, Mr J J Elliott, Gordon 12/1 11-6 142 107d
2019 Le Breuil (FR) Anzillero (GER) 7 Codd, Mr J J Pauling, Ben 14/1 11-6 145 52d
2018 Rathvinden (IRE) Heron Island (IRE) 10 Mullins, Mr P W Mullins, W P 9/2 11-6 150 37d
2017 Tiger Roll (IRE) Authorized (IRE) 7 ONeill, Ms Lisa Elliott, Gordon 16/1 11-6 152 134d
2016 Minella Rocco (IRE) Shirocco (GER) 6 OConnor, Derek ONeill, Jonjo 8/1 11-6 143 24d
2015 Cause Of Causes (USA) Dynaformer (USA) 7 Codd, Mr J J Elliott, Gordon 8/1 11-6 146 47d
2014 Midnight Prayer Midnight Legend 9 Newman, Mr Joshua King, A 8/1 11-6 139 31d
2013 Back In Focus (IRE) Bob Back (USA) 8 Mullins, Mr P W Mullins, W P 9/4 11-6 150 75d
2012 Teaforthree (IRE) Oscar (IRE) 8 McNamara, Mr J T Curtis, Miss Rebecca 5/1 11-6 146 18d
2011 Chicago Grey (IRE) Luso 8 OConnor, Derek Elliott, Gordon 5/1 11-6 151 78d
2010 Poker De Sivola (FR) Discover Dauteuil (FR) 7 Walsh, Ms K Murphy, Ferdy 14/1 11-6 127 30d
2009 Tricky Trickster (IRE) Oscar (IRE) 6 Waley-Cohen, Mr S Twiston-Davies, N A 11/1 11-11 129 46d
2008 Old Benny Saddlers Hall (IRE) 7 Huxley, Charlie King, A 9/1 11-7 130 33d
2007 Butlers Cabin (FR) Poliglote 7 Berry, Mr A J ONeill, Jonjo 33/1 12-0 123 96d
2006 Hot Weld Weld 7 Harding, Mr R O Murphy, Ferdy 33/1 11-11 120 39d
2005 Another Rum (IRE) Zaffaran (USA) 7 OHare, Mr M J Duncan, I A 40/1 11-7 0 32d
2004 Native Emperor Be My Native (USA) 8 Widger, Mr R ONeill, Jonjo 5/1 11-11 136 39d
2003 Sudden Shock (GER) Motley (USA) 8 Cullen, Mr D W ONeill, Jonjo 25/1 11-7 134 19d

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